January 15th ETH Key Conclusion: Slightly bullish with oscillation, rely on 3300-3280 support for low longs, short at 3400-3420 resistance when appropriate, strictly control position size and stop-loss.

I. Key Indicators and Structure (January 15th)

- Price Performance: Daily high 3403, low 3205, before press time around 3380, oscillating in the 3300-3400 range.
- Moving Averages and Trend: Daily chart above EMA30 (3220), EMA120 (3100); 4-hour EMA7/30 golden cross, momentum slowing.
- Indicator Signals: Daily RSI(14)≈69.2, approaching overbought; daily MACD expanding, 4-hour MACD histogram shrinking, bullish momentum weakening.
- Key Levels: Support at 3300-3280, 3230-3200; Resistance at 3380-3400, 3450-3500.

II. Executable Trading Strategies

- Low Long Strategy (Conservative)
- Entry: Stabilize after pullback to 3300-3280, small position attempt long.
- Stop-loss: Below 3250, risk per trade ≤ 2% of total funds.
- Targets: T1 3380, T2 3400, break to 3450-3500.
- Short Strategy (Aggressive)
- Entry: Resistance at 3400-3420, pullback, light position attempt short.
- Stop-loss: Above 3450, risk per trade ≤ 1% of total funds.
- Targets: T1 3350, T2 3300, break to 3280.
- Breakout Response
- Break below 3250: close long positions, rebound near 3300 add short, target 3200.
- Break above 3420: close short positions, retrace to 3380 chase long, target 3450-3500.

III. Risk Control Points

- Position Size: Longs ≤ 30%, Shorts ≤ 15%, avoid heavy positions chasing highs.
- Stop-loss: Strict execution, after breaking T1 move stop-loss to break-even at entry.
- Rhythm: 4-hour bearish divergence or volume decline, reduce positions and observe.