A trader just went all-in with $40,000 on a prediction market bet—wagering that the U.S. will strike Iran by tonight. What's striking here isn't just the size of the position, but the contrarian call: this bet directly contradicts where the broader market consensus is currently pricing the event. Big money moves like this often signal either privileged conviction or high-risk appetite in uncertain times. The prediction market is essentially pricing in skepticism, but this whale seems to see the odds differently. It's a reminder of how volatile geopolitical uncertainty can move capital in the crypto betting space.