#美国消费者物价指数发布在即 During the watch, I found an interesting 1-hour trend — seemingly a calm with only 0.11% volatility, but secretly accumulating quite a few signals. Let’s discuss it.

**Technical Highlights:**

The price is currently stuck near the upper Bollinger Band at 96236.5, failing to stabilize after several attempts. The upward space is tightly compressed, making a breakout in the short term quite challenging. Looking further down, the bullish alignment of MA7 and EMA7 still holds, but the price has already slipped back into the dense moving average zone (between 96150-96200). Therefore, the real short-term support is actually at 96050, where the MA30 and EMA30 converge.

On the MACD side, although the histogram remains above zero, the DIF line shows signs of flattening. What does this mean? It indicates that if the next hourly candle cannot push volume to advance upward, the death cross becomes highly probable, and the pullback pressure will suddenly increase.

**On-Chain Perspective:**

Although on-chain data isn’t visible on the chart, my tracked indicators give an undeniable signal — in the past 6 hours, the amount of large holdings transferred to exchanges has slightly increased, hinting at potential short-term selling pressure. The good news is that the contract funding rate remains in a neutral to low level, indicating that bullish sentiment isn’t overheated, leaving room for subsequent momentum buildup.

**Trading Ideas:**

In the short term, if the price truly falls below 96000 and the MACD death cross confirms, my plan is to enter in batches between 95800 and 95500. From a medium-term perspective, the weekly upward trend remains intact; any sharp decline is essentially an opportunity. The key medium-term support has shifted upward to 95300 (former high turned support).

Finally, a reminder: in choppy markets, it’s easiest to get shaken out of positions. True breakouts often happen quietly when everyone is hesitating. Be prepared, and the rest depends on the rhythm. $BTC