Recently, I noticed an issue with the pricing logic of a new coin listing and wanted to discuss it with everyone.
The UP token's opening price is set at $0.005, but a closer look at the underlying data reveals some interesting points—
**The Paradox of Funding vs. Listing Valuation** Core developer XREX just received a strategic investment of $18.75 million in Tether, yet the fully diluted valuation (FDV) at listing is only $5 million. This is quite unusual—funding amount is nearly four times the listing valuation. Generally, such inverted situations often indicate severe undervaluation.
**How Small Is the Market Cap?** The initial circulating market cap (IMC) is estimated at around $330,000. It sounds tiny, but looking from another angle—how strong is the liquidity of a major exchange? With just $1 million in buy orders, the price could triple. This micro-market cap, combined with a platform that has sufficient liquidity, offers significant upside potential.
**Valuation Space by Benchmarking** Using similar projects as benchmarks makes it clearer: - Referencing Goldfinch's scale, with an FDV of around $25 million, the price would be about $0.025 (a 5x increase) - Referencing Centrifuge's market level, with an FDV of approximately $86 million, the price would be about $0.086 (close to 17x) - If we consider the growth expectations of projects like Ondo, $0.20 is also possible
What do you think? Is this purely a data game, or is there real fundamental support?
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Recently, I noticed an issue with the pricing logic of a new coin listing and wanted to discuss it with everyone.
The UP token's opening price is set at $0.005, but a closer look at the underlying data reveals some interesting points—
**The Paradox of Funding vs. Listing Valuation**
Core developer XREX just received a strategic investment of $18.75 million in Tether, yet the fully diluted valuation (FDV) at listing is only $5 million. This is quite unusual—funding amount is nearly four times the listing valuation. Generally, such inverted situations often indicate severe undervaluation.
**How Small Is the Market Cap?**
The initial circulating market cap (IMC) is estimated at around $330,000. It sounds tiny, but looking from another angle—how strong is the liquidity of a major exchange? With just $1 million in buy orders, the price could triple. This micro-market cap, combined with a platform that has sufficient liquidity, offers significant upside potential.
**Valuation Space by Benchmarking**
Using similar projects as benchmarks makes it clearer:
- Referencing Goldfinch's scale, with an FDV of around $25 million, the price would be about $0.025 (a 5x increase)
- Referencing Centrifuge's market level, with an FDV of approximately $86 million, the price would be about $0.086 (close to 17x)
- If we consider the growth expectations of projects like Ondo, $0.20 is also possible
What do you think? Is this purely a data game, or is there real fundamental support?