Many people陷入 a deadly misconception when playing the cycle loan—thinking that as long as the LTV hasn't broken through the 80% liquidation threshold, it's as safe as a rock. This linear thinking is basically dancing on the edge of self-destruction.
The reality is, during extreme market volatility, the liquidation line isn't a clear-cut red line at all; it's a mirage full of uncertainties. You see a 10% safety cushion in your account, but when liquidity suddenly dries up in those few minutes, that cushion can only last a second—if you're lucky.
Take the Dutch auction mechanism, for example. Theoretically, it's fairer than fixed-discount liquidations, but it has a fatal flaw: it assumes the market is always continuous and that there's always a liquidator willing to step in. What happens then? When BNB crashes 30% in a short period and on-chain Gas fees spike to thousands of Gwei, these assumptions collapse instantly. The system calls this a "liquidity vacuum gap."
By that point, the secondary market price of slisBNB can become severely depegged due to panic—possibly over 10%. Bots crunch the numbers: even with auction discounts, buying slisBNB results in a loss. Either the discount can't cover the depegging extent, or Gas costs are too high to execute. The auction fails to attract bids. The protocol is forced to keep lowering prices until it shatters the psychological barrier.
The key is, your asset shrinkage isn't caused by market price drops but by "liquidity absence" swallowing your position alive. By the time you receive a liquidation notice, your losses often far exceed the market decline. This is the horror of "non-linear liquidation"—facing systemic crises, no mathematical model can help. The only salvation is your ridiculously low position management.
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ProposalManiac
· 01-13 09:27
This is a typical flaw in mechanism design. The 80% LTV threshold completely fails to consider extreme liquidity scenarios. Having only mathematical models is useless; historically, Luna and 3AC have both experienced this—once liquidation cascades are triggered, discounts, no matter how generous, are just empty talk.
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LiquidationWatcher
· 01-13 09:00
80% of LTV is completely illusory... Once liquidity drops, people are gone, that's the real killer.
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ser_we_are_ngmi
· 01-12 09:46
Liquidity gaps are really a crushing machine; the 80% liquidation line is just a joke haha
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AirdropHunterKing
· 01-10 16:04
Damn, you think you're safe with an 80% liquidation line? These people are so naive. Once liquidity dries up, it crashes straight through. Who would dare to buy when Gas fees are thousands of Gwei?
That's why I keep telling the meme traders—no matter how good a project is, you must control your position; otherwise, it's no different from suicide. I've seen several flash crashes; really, no matter how sophisticated the mathematical model is, it can't save you.
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RugpullAlertOfficer
· 01-10 11:58
Wow, you dare to go all-in with only an 80% safety margin? Once liquidity dries up, it’ll turn into a slaughterhouse immediately.
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SchroedingersFrontrun
· 01-10 11:57
80% liquidation line? Laughable. The moment liquidity dries up, there’s no such line at all, it’s all an illusion.
Only when a flash crash and gas explosion happen do you realize that mathematical models are just scrap paper in the face of reality. Low positions are really not caution, they are the only way out.
I will never forget the few seconds when the Dutch auction failed to sell out, it was a hundred times worse than I imagined.
This time I see clearly that the so-called safety cushion can’t hold for even a minute, survival depends entirely on small positions.
Those who dare to go all-in with an LTV of 80% will eventually learn their lesson through nonlinear liquidation.
When gas fees skyrocketed, I knew right away—no matter how beautiful the mechanism is, it’s useless. Liquidity is the key to survival.
I used to believe in fair auction mechanisms, but now it’s all about who has smaller positions and can last longer.
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DegenRecoveryGroup
· 01-10 11:56
Really, the 80% threshold is just a joke. Once liquidity breaks, it instantly collapses.
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GasFeeVictim
· 01-10 11:56
Really, the 80% liquidation threshold theory has long been outdated. Once liquidity dries up, all models are just paper mâché.
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ChainSauceMaster
· 01-10 11:54
That 80% threshold is really like paper... Once liquidity breaks, the entire parameter model collapses.
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quietly_staking
· 01-10 11:34
This article is harsh, but honestly, the 80% liquidation line is just a psychological placebo.
Many people陷入 a deadly misconception when playing the cycle loan—thinking that as long as the LTV hasn't broken through the 80% liquidation threshold, it's as safe as a rock. This linear thinking is basically dancing on the edge of self-destruction.
The reality is, during extreme market volatility, the liquidation line isn't a clear-cut red line at all; it's a mirage full of uncertainties. You see a 10% safety cushion in your account, but when liquidity suddenly dries up in those few minutes, that cushion can only last a second—if you're lucky.
Take the Dutch auction mechanism, for example. Theoretically, it's fairer than fixed-discount liquidations, but it has a fatal flaw: it assumes the market is always continuous and that there's always a liquidator willing to step in. What happens then? When BNB crashes 30% in a short period and on-chain Gas fees spike to thousands of Gwei, these assumptions collapse instantly. The system calls this a "liquidity vacuum gap."
By that point, the secondary market price of slisBNB can become severely depegged due to panic—possibly over 10%. Bots crunch the numbers: even with auction discounts, buying slisBNB results in a loss. Either the discount can't cover the depegging extent, or Gas costs are too high to execute. The auction fails to attract bids. The protocol is forced to keep lowering prices until it shatters the psychological barrier.
The key is, your asset shrinkage isn't caused by market price drops but by "liquidity absence" swallowing your position alive. By the time you receive a liquidation notice, your losses often far exceed the market decline. This is the horror of "non-linear liquidation"—facing systemic crises, no mathematical model can help. The only salvation is your ridiculously low position management.