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Ethereum (ETH) 2025-12-31 00:35 Market Overview
- Current price: $2940-$2950, 24h volatility approximately ±1.0%, narrow fluctuations.
- Core judgment: Short-term consolidation dominates (probability about 65%), probability of breaking above $3000 ≤30%, probability of breaking below $2900 ≤25%.
Key Price Levels
- Resistance: $2980-$3000 (short-term moving average + round number), break above to target $3050-$3060.
- Support: $2900-$2870 (previous low + round number), break below to target $2800-$2820.
Technical and Market Sentiment
- Daily RSI neutral, 4h MACD bearish momentum weakening, trading volume relatively light, cautious trading towards year-end.
- ETH ETF capital outflows, Federal Reserve rate cut delay expectations, suppress short-term rebound.
Probability and Trading Suggestions
- Intraday: Buy low and sell high within the $2900-$3000 range, allocate 30-50% positions, reduce positions in batches if rebounding to $2980-$3000, buy more on dips if stabilizing at $2900.
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Consolidation and recovery, focus on the validity of $2900 support and $3000 breakout, wait for ETF capital inflow and rate cut expectations to become clearer.
Watch for resistance at 3030, support at 2920.