After several consecutive trading days of gains, the market still closed higher today. The short-term bullish pattern formed by seven small positive candles is well within expectations. But the question is—will the market continue to rise tomorrow?
The answer may disappoint the bullish crowd. Based on the current momentum, it is highly likely that tomorrow will see a pullback or a consolidation with some shakeout, probably forming a doji with a long upper shadow.
Why do we make this judgment? The reasons are actually quite simple:
First, after continuous rises, there is indeed a need to shake out some short-term profit-taking. Around the 3960 level, a considerable amount of profit has already been accumulated, and those looking to sell will definitely do so. Second, there are also a number of trapped positions near 3960, and the market needs to use oscillations to gradually release this pressure. Furthermore, a shakeout can actually be beneficial for the subsequent rally—by clearing out impulsive follow-up traders, it helps to build momentum for a genuine upward move.
Therefore, even if there is a pullback or a sharp rise followed by a dip tomorrow, there’s no need to panic excessively. Stay patient, and next week’s target remains around 4034 points. The upward logic of this wave has not been broken; the shakeout is just a necessary part of the process.
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ZeroRushCaptain
· 7h ago
Haha, here we go again with the old script of "shakeout and accumulation." My contrarian indicator instincts tell me to go short in the opposite direction.
Isn't the area around 3960 already filled with profit-taking orders? I bet that next week it will be cut in half at fifty cents. At that time, I’ll just listen to the chicken soup about "clearing out restless and trend-following traders."
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NotFinancialAdvice
· 7h ago
Accumulation manipulation again, using the same old tricks, talking as if it's real. Just wait to be pushed back to the starting point.
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ThesisInvestor
· 7h ago
I've heard the excuse of "shakeout" too many times. Every time, it's about clearing out the restless traders, but what happens? It just drops straight down.
It's either a doji or a trapped position—aren't these just new ways of saying it will fall first and then rise?
That target level at 4034, I think it's uncertain. If it drops tomorrow, that will be a buying opportunity, right?
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RealYieldWizard
· 7h ago
I'm tired of hearing the same excuse about shaking out the market; every time it dips, they say it's just a shakeout, but it's actually accumulation.
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TradFiRefugee
· 7h ago
It's just a shakeout, I've already gotten off long ago. Let's see how you guys are performing technical analysis.
After several consecutive trading days of gains, the market still closed higher today. The short-term bullish pattern formed by seven small positive candles is well within expectations. But the question is—will the market continue to rise tomorrow?
The answer may disappoint the bullish crowd. Based on the current momentum, it is highly likely that tomorrow will see a pullback or a consolidation with some shakeout, probably forming a doji with a long upper shadow.
Why do we make this judgment? The reasons are actually quite simple:
First, after continuous rises, there is indeed a need to shake out some short-term profit-taking. Around the 3960 level, a considerable amount of profit has already been accumulated, and those looking to sell will definitely do so. Second, there are also a number of trapped positions near 3960, and the market needs to use oscillations to gradually release this pressure. Furthermore, a shakeout can actually be beneficial for the subsequent rally—by clearing out impulsive follow-up traders, it helps to build momentum for a genuine upward move.
Therefore, even if there is a pullback or a sharp rise followed by a dip tomorrow, there’s no need to panic excessively. Stay patient, and next week’s target remains around 4034 points. The upward logic of this wave has not been broken; the shakeout is just a necessary part of the process.