#比特币与黄金战争 Take a look at the Christmas market trends from previous years. What kind of performance has $BTC delivered at this time of year? From price fluctuations to market sentiment, each Christmas cycle reveals some insights. Have you participated in these Christmas market trends over the years? Have you ever missed the timing or successfully caught the rebound before the holidays? At the end of each year, the market often experiences subtle changes—some say it's due to seasonal effects of capital flow, while others bet on emotional recovery before the New Year. As a market indicator, Bitcoin's performance at these special times often reflects the true expectations of market participants for the future. Reviewing data from these years helps us better understand the cyclical logic of the crypto market.
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OnchainHolmes
· 3h ago
Christmas market? Over the past few years, I've mostly watched others make money, while I bought the dip halfway up the mountain...
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GasFeeCry
· 9h ago
Christmas market? It just reminds me of that wave last year, and the regret of not getting on board at all.
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WalletsWatcher
· 9h ago
I always buy the dip before Christmas every year and get trapped, and this time is no exception.
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What seasonal effect? I just want to laugh. Anyway, I’m completely wiped out.
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Past years’ data is useless regardless of how good it looks; the key is how institutions move this year.
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Christmas Eve is usually a trap for a rebound; don’t be fooled, brothers.
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Liquidity isn’t that mysterious; it’s just about watching the US stock market’s mood.
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This year’s end market movement doesn’t feel special at all; Bitcoin is either going to fall or keep falling.
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Caught a holiday rebound once and made some profit, but unfortunately didn’t go all-in.
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Cycle logic is bullshit; it’s just a random walk, no one can predict it.
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The real experts are those who position themselves when others are in fear. During Christmas, I’m all cash.
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DaoResearcher
· 9h ago
Based on on-chain data and historical candlestick patterns, BTC volatility before and after Christmas indeed shows obvious seasonal characteristics—this underlying governance logic is worth deeper exploration.
Having experienced several key points last year, I now feel a bit apprehensive. I recommend everyone first read some papers on market microstructure to understand the liquidity withdrawal mechanism of market makers before holidays—you'll understand why there are always sharp drops before holidays.
From a tokenomics perspective, retail participation is already low at the end of the year. Under this incentive-incompatible state, the price discovery mechanism inevitably fails. According to the white paper derivation, the so-called "emotional recovery" at these special times is actually a false proposition.
It is worth noting that true alpha does not lie in catching rebounds but in understanding the equilibrium of market participants' game—multi-long and multi-short battles during highly concentrated periods inevitably produce unstable solutions.
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liquidation_surfer
· 9h ago
The Christmas rebound is back. Can you catch it this time?
#比特币与黄金战争 Take a look at the Christmas market trends from previous years. What kind of performance has $BTC delivered at this time of year? From price fluctuations to market sentiment, each Christmas cycle reveals some insights. Have you participated in these Christmas market trends over the years? Have you ever missed the timing or successfully caught the rebound before the holidays? At the end of each year, the market often experiences subtle changes—some say it's due to seasonal effects of capital flow, while others bet on emotional recovery before the New Year. As a market indicator, Bitcoin's performance at these special times often reflects the true expectations of market participants for the future. Reviewing data from these years helps us better understand the cyclical logic of the crypto market.