As 2025 is coming to an end, an unexpected phenomenon is presenting itself—Bitcoin and Ethereum have actually underperformed traditional assets like gold and silver. This sounds a bit painful, and it's no wonder that people in the crypto circle feel a particularly strong sense of "perceived gap."
The index is oscillating at high levels, looking quite lively, but the profit-making effect is indeed less obvious. This round of market feels like it first hit new highs, then experienced deep retracements, and now is stuck in high-volatility, repeated re-pricing. The extreme optimism at the end of last year has now shifted into a cautious, defensive stance.
In such an environment, simply believing that "a bull market is inevitable" is no longer enough. Those straightforward price point predictions are generally failing, and what’s truly materializing are some structural changes. For example, compliant products are gradually coming online, more and more public chains and assets are obtaining ETF or compliance channel approvals, and sectors like RWA, stablecoins, and AI are expanding slowly but steadily. The industry’s foundation is actually being reinforced step by step.
In the short term, the main trend for the market should still be range-bound oscillation. The $90,000 level remains overhead pressure. Every time the price rebounds, rather than seeing it as a mindless opportunity to chase higher, it’s better viewed as a window for high-level turnover and strategic positioning of structural assets.
Looking mid-term, assuming no systemic macro shocks, top-tier assets will gradually digest their valuations through high-level oscillations. True excess returns mainly come from the "selection gap" between different tracks and specific projects—meaning choosing the right direction is more important than precisely timing the market.
From a strategic execution perspective, the first principle is to control overall positions, especially to reduce short-term high leverage exposure. Survival always comes first; this is an unyielding bottom line. Focus on projects with real application progress and good liquidity. When evaluating projects, combine "narrative" and "fundamentals," rather than just fixating on the K-line’s steepness.
For the entire market, rather than fantasizing about completing some ultimate main upward wave, it’s better to accept the reality of high-volatility range oscillation. Execute with pre-planned phased deployment and take-profit strategies—this is more reliable. The bull market may still be on the way, but the rhythm has changed. The new game isn’t about who dares to go all-in, but who can survive longer amid volatility and who can patiently hold high-quality chips. This is the new rule of the game.
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ImpermanentTherapist
· 20h ago
Underperforming gold? That's really a bit ironic. The technological advancements we've made are actually being beaten by old-timers.
But to be fair, those who see through this wave are quietly switching tracks. Don't still foolishly chase the high.
Product selection ability is the key to survival; timing the entry points is basically a gamble.
The era of all-in is indeed over. Now it's just about who can survive long enough.
The 90,000 level is hard to get through; during a rebound, you should calmly sell and switch to quality assets.
Honestly, combining fundamentals and narratives can really help identify something different.
High volatility is probably the new normal. I really don't understand those still dreaming of straight-line surges.
RWA and stablecoins are slowly expanding; this is truly laying the foundation. Don't just focus on K-line charts.
That kind of optimism at the end of last year seems so silly now. Now is the time to do your homework.
Position management is definitely the top priority. Leveraged short-term trading is a suicidal game; I've seen too many people blow up like that.
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MidnightTrader
· 20h ago
Underperforming gold? That really hits hard... But on the other hand, choosing the right track is more important than chasing highs.
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TokenomicsShaman
· 20h ago
Underperforming gold? That's really embarrassing, no wonder everyone's mentality is blown up.
But honestly, the era of all-in is really over; now it's about who can survive the longest.
The 90,000 level is really a stubborn level; it gets hammered on rebounds, then rebounds again after being hammered, so annoying.
Instead of chasing highs, it's better to choose the right track. This wave seems to be decided by product selection ability.
Stablecoins and RWA are truly in it for the long run; they are much smarter than those who watch K-line charts every day.
High leverage is really a suicidal play; I already know several people around me who got wrecked.
Is the bull market on the way? It feels more like redefining what a bull market really is.
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ColdWalletGuardian
· 20h ago
Losing to gold is indeed a bit surprising, but to be honest, this wave just happens to be the beginning of the survival of the fittest.
Product selection is more important than timing, I agree. It really depends on who can survive longer.
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Gm_Gn_Merchant
· 20h ago
Underperforming gold? That is indeed a bit embarrassing haha, but honestly, product selection is the key, don’t just look at the market index.
Exactly, now it’s a game of who can last longer.
The 90,000 resistance level is really annoying; those who want to chase the rebound should wake up.
The launch of compliant ETFs is indeed paving the way, much more reliable than price predictions.
Instead of going all-in, it’s better to carefully select projects. I’ve never relaxed on fundamentals.
I’ve been managing position sizes for a long time; leverage is really a bomb detonator.
Living through high volatility is spot on; that’s real skill.
The bull market may still be here, but the rhythm has changed; you need to adjust your mindset.
Range-bound trading is fine, stagger your entries and take profits; simple and effective.
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LiquidityOracle
· 20h ago
This guy's analysis is quite clear-headed, but to be honest, I still find it hard to accept that we're losing to gold.
The statement about poor product selection really hit the mark. Instead of constantly watching Bitcoin's price movements, it's better to study the public chain ecosystem carefully.
Switching hands at high levels is the current game; don't go all-in anymore, everyone.
The phrase "survival first" must be engraved in your mind.
Wait, did you notice the RWA and stablecoin expansion he mentioned? That might be the real source of excess returns.
Deleveraging, phased deployment, holding good positions—invincibly boring but incredibly effective.
Can the 90,000 resistance level be broken this time? It feels like this wave is just repeatedly cutting the leeks at high levels.
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DiamondHands
· 20h ago
Underperforming gold? That's embarrassing now. Where did that group of people who always said to be bullish go?
I agree that selecting the right products is more important than timing the market, but execution is still too difficult.
The 90,000 resistance level has been repeatedly tested, which is really annoying to watch.
Instead of going all-in, it's better to survive longer. This time, we really need to face reality.
I am optimistic about the RWA and AI tracks, but don't chase after high-level garbage narratives.
I have been using the profit-taking in batches strategy for a long time, but psychologically, it's still easy to be greedy.
Living through the volatility longer—it's easy to say, but in reality, everyone is tangled up in losing money.
As 2025 is coming to an end, an unexpected phenomenon is presenting itself—Bitcoin and Ethereum have actually underperformed traditional assets like gold and silver. This sounds a bit painful, and it's no wonder that people in the crypto circle feel a particularly strong sense of "perceived gap."
The index is oscillating at high levels, looking quite lively, but the profit-making effect is indeed less obvious. This round of market feels like it first hit new highs, then experienced deep retracements, and now is stuck in high-volatility, repeated re-pricing. The extreme optimism at the end of last year has now shifted into a cautious, defensive stance.
In such an environment, simply believing that "a bull market is inevitable" is no longer enough. Those straightforward price point predictions are generally failing, and what’s truly materializing are some structural changes. For example, compliant products are gradually coming online, more and more public chains and assets are obtaining ETF or compliance channel approvals, and sectors like RWA, stablecoins, and AI are expanding slowly but steadily. The industry’s foundation is actually being reinforced step by step.
In the short term, the main trend for the market should still be range-bound oscillation. The $90,000 level remains overhead pressure. Every time the price rebounds, rather than seeing it as a mindless opportunity to chase higher, it’s better viewed as a window for high-level turnover and strategic positioning of structural assets.
Looking mid-term, assuming no systemic macro shocks, top-tier assets will gradually digest their valuations through high-level oscillations. True excess returns mainly come from the "selection gap" between different tracks and specific projects—meaning choosing the right direction is more important than precisely timing the market.
From a strategic execution perspective, the first principle is to control overall positions, especially to reduce short-term high leverage exposure. Survival always comes first; this is an unyielding bottom line. Focus on projects with real application progress and good liquidity. When evaluating projects, combine "narrative" and "fundamentals," rather than just fixating on the K-line’s steepness.
For the entire market, rather than fantasizing about completing some ultimate main upward wave, it’s better to accept the reality of high-volatility range oscillation. Execute with pre-planned phased deployment and take-profit strategies—this is more reliable. The bull market may still be on the way, but the rhythm has changed. The new game isn’t about who dares to go all-in, but who can survive longer amid volatility and who can patiently hold high-quality chips. This is the new rule of the game.