$BTC [区块律动] Recently, the bets on the Bitcoin trend in the prediction market are quite interesting. Right now, the expectation for Bitcoin to break through $100,000 has decreased significantly, with the success probability temporarily around 10%. In contrast, the probability of pulling back to the psychological level of $95,000 is much higher, approximately 32%. Another noteworthy statistic is that the market gives a probability of about 18% for Bitcoin to fall below $80,000. These figures basically outline several important expectations in the current market—it's not completely pessimistic, but there's also not much optimism for the subsequent rise. In simple terms, a period of consolidation and pullback seems to have become the psychological contingency plan for more investors.
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$BTC [区块律动] Recently, the bets on the Bitcoin trend in the prediction market are quite interesting. Right now, the expectation for Bitcoin to break through $100,000 has decreased significantly, with the success probability temporarily around 10%. In contrast, the probability of pulling back to the psychological level of $95,000 is much higher, approximately 32%. Another noteworthy statistic is that the market gives a probability of about 18% for Bitcoin to fall below $80,000. These figures basically outline several important expectations in the current market—it's not completely pessimistic, but there's also not much optimism for the subsequent rise. In simple terms, a period of consolidation and pullback seems to have become the psychological contingency plan for more investors.