#美联储降息政策 The Federal Reserve announced a rate cut and a $45 billion liquidity injection on December 10th, which is the underlying logic for the market outlook next year. My direct judgment is: there is indeed a short-term rebound opportunity, but it depends on the rhythm.

BTC is currently in a triangle pattern; the key is to break through the upper boundary. In the short term, focus on the support zone around 88,000-89,000. I missed this zone repeatedly before, so next time it dips back, there will be a chance to go long. ETH staying above 3000 means it will continue upward; my plan is to wait for minor corrections before entering, and not to chase highs hastily.

The most interesting part of this wave is those five small coins—GPS, Ntrn, Newt, pnut, nil—all still lurking at the bottom. Once liquidity flows in, they are likely to activate first. I have already accumulated a position in BCH at the bottom and plan to add more.

TAO will have its first halving this week. At the current price around 300, you can try small long positions, add on dips at 275, set a stop loss at 260, and target the 380-400 range. If Binance's spot trading goes live this week, it could directly ignite market sentiment. I have a small position in alpha, betting on this expectation.

The key is to execute take-profit and stop-loss strategies. When a major move happens, it often occurs at a turning point. Being prepared with the right tools is the key.