#美联储政策与经济走势 Recently, the market's expectation of a Fed rate cut has surged again, so everyone should pay close attention to this trend. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December on Polymarket has soared to 94%, indicating that market expectations for a shift in monetary policy are becoming increasingly strong. However, I think we should remain cautious, as the Fed's decisions are not to be taken lightly. If a rate cut does happen, it could mean that the economic outlook is not very optimistic. I recommend everyone closely watch next week's Fed meeting to see whether Powell will signal a dovish stance. Also, don't forget to keep an eye on the employment and inflation data at the end of the month, as these could influence future policy directions. In summary, a comprehensive observation and preparation are essential to seize opportunities amid policy changes.