#大户持仓动态 Many people are watching Japan's interest rate hike, and they all think the same: policy implementation → market plummets → buy the dip. It sounds like perfect logic, but reality often goes the other way.

Looking at the previous times Japan raised interest rates, it’s clear that you can’t expect a "big crash with one shot" that hits the bottom immediately. Japan’s market influence has always been characterized by—slow. Emotional reactions are quick, but actual capital withdrawal is slow, and market pressure is often released gradually over the next few days or even the following week.

So if you’re still thinking "just go all-in whenever it drops," chances are you’re caught in a trap, not bottoming out.

From the market rhythm, this wave is unlikely to follow the pattern of "a big spike followed by several weeks of continuous rise." The more likely scenario is: rapid plunge in the morning → quick stabilization afterward → gradual decline and retesting lows over the next few days → then a slow recovery and rebound over 3 to 4 weeks. The overall pace is sluggish rather than explosive.

As of now, the intraday structure is not much different from yesterday—mainly a rebound in the morning, so don’t rush to bet on a "final bottom." The real warning point is next week. Especially for coins like XRP, pay close attention to their actual performance in the coming days.