To be honest, I was initially hesitant to believe this set of data #Polymarket : a 95.4% historical accuracy rate.

In the past month, 91.9%. This is no longer just “doing well,”
but on a level where traditional media, polls, and expert systems are being pressed to the ground. You should know, almost no media system in history has maintained such accuracy over the long term. Almost none.
Why is it so accurate?
Simply put, it’s not just talk, but money. On Polymarket: every judgment involves real money betting, and if you’re wrong, you lose money. No one would stubbornly hold onto incorrect views out of emotion, stance, or traffic.
The last ones left standing are not “those with the loudest voice,” but those who are truly willing to pay the cost for their judgment. This is very crucial.
Think a step deeper, and it might be a bit shocking. How does the traditional world “predict the future”?
Media relies on narratives, experts on resumes, institutions on models and hypotheses, but market prediction does something else:
👉 consolidates everyone’s information, judgments, and even biases into a single price.
This price is a probability. So, what does a 95% accuracy rate mean?
It’s not just a nice KPI, but it tells you:
“The collective conclusion derived from money betting, in the long run, is more reliable than any expert.”
This is an upgrade in the way information is produced.
And because of this, I want to say something that many might not have realized yet: prediction markets might really be heading into a super cycle.
Not because of hype, but because conditions are finally ripe:
Crypto provides a low-cost, global settlement chain with verifiable on-chain results, no longer relying on trust.
Once liquidity flows in, accuracy will reinforce itself.
As the scale continues to grow,
it could become a more important “source of information” than polls, media, or even investment bank reports.
Finally, a heartfelt judgment: while others are still arguing about who is right, prediction markets are quietly pricing in the future.
A 95.4% accuracy rate is not the end, but more like a signal:
The line of prediction markets deserves serious attention.
Do you think this is a fleeting phenomenon, or the next real big opportunity?
Share your thoughts in the comments.
‍#Polymarket #预测市场 #Crypto