MARKET ANALYSIS: Has the Market Bottomed?

Date: December 16, 2025

While retail traders are panic-selling around the $88k level, on-chain data is telling a very different story. To answer the question #HasTheMarketBottomed, we need to focus on who is buying, not just short-term price action.

The “Smart Money” Signal

Institutional Floor
Just yesterday, Brazil’s largest bank recommended a 3% Bitcoin allocation to its clients. Historically, when traditional financial institutions publicly advocate buying during a dip, it often aligns with a local market bottom.

Whale Accumulation
MicroStrategy continues to accumulate Bitcoin at these levels. This is not speculative behavior. They are executing a long-term conviction strategy, not chasing short-term upside.

My Verdict

Yes,The local bottom is likely in, around the $87k–$88k range.

This pullback looks less like a trend reversal and more like a liquidity grab, designed to shake out weak hands before seasonal liquidity flows return and broader risk appetite improves.

My Strategy

Aggressive DCA
I am actively accumulating BTC and high-conviction Layer 1s such as SOL in the $88k–$90k range.

No Shorts
Shorting at these levels presents a highly asymmetric risk profile. From a risk-to-reward standpoint, the upside significantly outweighs the downside.

Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.