#大户持仓变化 $ETH The Deep Dilemma of : How Much Longer Can the Rally Hold After the Main Players Cash Out?

On the surface, this seems like a bottom-fishing opportunity. But in reality? The numbers tell the truth:

**Market Liquidity Has Been Verified** — AI tracking systems show that big traders are gradually reducing their positions. The funds that initially drove the rally have already taken profits, leaving behind scattered retail investors to pick up the pieces.

**Weakness Behind the Rise** — On the 1-hour K-line, the liquidations of short positions are 22 times that of long positions. This looks like a rebound, but essentially, it's short sellers being forced to close their positions, giving the market a "blood transfusion." Once this sentiment dissipates, the support vanishes instantly.

**The Most Dangerous Consensus** — Over 57% of accounts across the entire network are bullish. In a pattern where the main players have quietly withdrawn, this high level of agreement often becomes the "gathering point" before the next downturn.

**Technical Resistance Is Heavy** — The EMA99 at 3036, combined with the resistance from previous correction zones, creates an almost insurmountable ceiling. Upward space is limited, but downward risk is accumulating.

In such a situation, what is the prudent approach? Don’t chase highs; instead, focus on key support levels.

**2900** — The last line of defense for the bulls recently. Falling below this would reverse the short-term pattern.

**2780** — The previous low point. Once broken, it could trigger a deeper downward cycle.

At its core, trading is a battle of probabilities. Choosing the right moment and waiting for high-probability opportunities is much smarter than blindly chasing rallies.