Market watchers at a major investment firm are suggesting that Bitcoin's traditional 4-year cycle pattern might be shifting. According to their latest analysis, we could potentially be transitioning into what's known as a supercycle phase. The observation draws parallels to commodity market movements in the 2000s, where supercycles actually stretched across nearly a decade rather than following shorter cyclical patterns.
This perspective carries weight given the shifting dynamics in Bitcoin adoption and institutional participation. If such a supercycle scenario plays out, it would represent a fundamental departure from the historical boom-bust patterns that have dominated crypto markets. The extended timeframe would suggest longer accumulation phases and different entry-exit dynamics for traders and investors positioning themselves in digital assets.
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GasWrangler
· 12h ago
nah, "super cycle" is just cope for people who got wrecked in '22. if you actually analyze the mempool data and on-chain metrics, the halving cycles are still mathematically predictable. institutions pumping capital doesn't change the base layer economics, tbh.
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NftDeepBreather
· 12-18 03:07
Super cycle? Sounds good, but I've heard this kind of talk in every bull market... If it really lasts ten years, I'll just eat my hat.
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Institutional entry has indeed changed the game, but don't take wish for reality, everyone.
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Here we go again with the storytelling. Let's see if they can deliver before bragging.
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Ten-year super cycle... Feels like they're just mentally preparing us for the upcoming crash.
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I only half believe this logic. After all, the number of institutions has increased, but the cycle being eliminated? That's overthinking.
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What did the boom-bust cycle change to? Prosperity - even more prosperity - then a sharp decline?
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Four years to ten years, so how should I allocate my position? Can anyone give practical advice?
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What they say nicely is just to make us hold more and not panic sell.
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The commodity market benchmarks Bitcoin... Are these two really the same? I'm starting to doubt.
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0xOverleveraged
· 12-15 23:57
Super cycle? Sounds like they want us to HODL for ten years again, right? Just a nice way of saying it. History loves to repeat itself while creating new surprises.
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FortuneTeller42
· 12-15 23:51
Super cycle? Sounds good, but I still think this is just another story big institutions are telling retail investors.
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AirdropAutomaton
· 12-15 23:31
Super cycle? Sounds good, but this time it's different. Institutional entry has indeed changed the game rules.
A ten-year long cycle? Then I better stock up and avoid frequent chasing and selling on rallies.
Basically, Bitcoin has shifted from wild growth to a regulated asset. Do you guys not understand what a longer cycle means?
As expected, retail investors worry too much. Institutions don't care about cycles at all; they just ask how to accumulate.
Feels like I've heard this talk for three or four years. Every time they say things will change, but it's still the same old story.
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MemecoinTrader
· 12-15 23:30
ngl the supercycle narrative is literally the psyops playbook we've been gaming all year. sentiment shift imminent fr
Market watchers at a major investment firm are suggesting that Bitcoin's traditional 4-year cycle pattern might be shifting. According to their latest analysis, we could potentially be transitioning into what's known as a supercycle phase. The observation draws parallels to commodity market movements in the 2000s, where supercycles actually stretched across nearly a decade rather than following shorter cyclical patterns.
This perspective carries weight given the shifting dynamics in Bitcoin adoption and institutional participation. If such a supercycle scenario plays out, it would represent a fundamental departure from the historical boom-bust patterns that have dominated crypto markets. The extended timeframe would suggest longer accumulation phases and different entry-exit dynamics for traders and investors positioning themselves in digital assets.