Why Did Bitcoin’s Rally Fail? Data Reveals the Truth

Markets Under Economic Pressure 📉
Bitcoin Tried to Rebound, but Failed to Break $92,250 with Ongoing Economic Uncertainty in the United States:
Ambiguity in Employment and Inflation Data Due to the Previous Government Shutdown

Concerns Over AI Valuations 🤖
Low Investor Risk Appetite

Traders Await the Federal Reserve Decision, but the General Mood Is Cautious.

Professionals Are Not Betting on a Major Rally 📊
Futures Contract Premium Remained Below 5% ➜ Weak Demand for Leveraged Buying

Bitcoin Has Dropped 28% Since the Peak

Liquidations Worth $92 Million 💥

Nevertheless, the $90,000 Level Still Acts as Important Support for the Market.

Options Trading Reveals the True Sentiment 🐳
Whales Pay High Premiums (13%) to Protect Themselves via Put Contracts,
This Reflects:
Fear of a Sudden Drop

Skepticism About Any Near-Term Rally

But Positions Have Not Changed Significantly After Rejection at 92K, Keeping Support Stable.

“Risk-Off” Mood Is Clear Among Traders

This Pattern Is Usually Seen in Downward Phases.

Weak ETF Flows Increase Pressure 🧊💼
US Bitcoin ETF Funds Still Lack Positive Flows,
Therefore, Any Rise Toward 100K Requires:
Improved Employment Data
Stable Real Estate Market
Greater Clarity from the Fed

Summary 🔥
Despite the Recent Rebound, Bitcoin Still Moves in a Very Cautious Environment:
High Economic Risks

Weak Institutional Flows

And Professional Traders Are Not Convinced by a Rally Above 92K

A True Return to Growth Requires:
🔹 New Liquidity
🔹 ETF Flows
🔹 and a Stable Recovery of 93–95K
Until Then… The Market Tends to Lean More Toward Downside Than Upside.
#FederalReserveMeetingAndRateCut
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