Brothers, pay attention ⚠️. The biggest issue right now isn’t “Will the Fed’s rate cuts boost tech stocks?”—it’s that you might have the entire logic chain backwards!

Most people have forgotten a key variable: Japan’s rate hikes are tearing apart global liquidity. When Japan raises rates and trillions in carry trades are forced to unwind, global dollars will be pulled out like a receding tide in an instant. The liquidity injection can’t keep up with the outflow, which means—highly leveraged assets will be the first to collapse.

📉 The three most dangerous types of assets—don’t touch them too much right now:
1️⃣ Highly leveraged tech stocks: those trading at 200x P/E based purely on hype—once the money pulls out, it’s a “high dive.”
2️⃣ Junk bonds & borderline debt: High yield doesn’t mean high safety. Once downgraded, institutions will dump them overnight.
3️⃣ Weak-narrative altcoins: No cash flow, driven by hype—be careful not to be the last one holding the bag.

😨 So where are the opportunities? 💡
👉 Japanese export leaders (stable giants like Toyota, Sony, etc.)
👉 High-rated short-term US bonds (1–5 years)
👉 “Hidden cash cows” in consumer staples

Over the next 3–6 months, the disruptive force of carry trade unwinding > the benefits of rate cuts. One is forced, rapid, and violent; the other is gentle, lagging, and slow. Don’t bet on direction—protect yourself first. Only those who can withstand the storm have the right to profit from the next big market move 💰. #美联储降息 #日本加息 #套息交易