#美联储降息预测

Rate cut decision imminent—will a rebound follow? This time, it’s about the “magnitude,” not the “result.”

A 25BP rate cut is almost priced in by the market, but what truly impacts the market has never been the size of the cut, but whether the Fed “changes its stance.”
If Powell hints at further easing in the future after the meeting, we could see a “structural rapid rebound.” If he continues to emphasize inflation pressures, the market rebound will be limited to “sentiment-driven fluctuations.”
My prediction:
— Short term: leaning toward a rebound; medium term: watching for guidance; full year: depends on policy rhythm.
Strategy:
— Position in major coins for event-driven moves, especially BTC and ETH—good to buy the dip in advance.
— Only play strong narratives on popular altcoin chains, such as AI, L2, and restaking.
— Risk management comes first; volatility won’t be small.

“A rate cut is like a lighter—it can ignite the market, but how strong the fire gets depends on how much oxygen Powell provides.”