#比特币对比代币化黄金 Last week’s market was intense—price spikes came out of nowhere, and the long/short switches happened so fast it was hard to react. The 94,000 level was tested three times but never held, so shorting along the trend is really just keeping in step with the market’s rhythm—when it comes to trading, understanding what’s happening right now matters more than guessing up or down.

After drawing a “door” over the weekend, the market is now in a large-scale triangle consolidation. Next week, keep a close eye on two things: if the 96,000 resistance can’t be broken, the momentum for a rebound will keep building; also, the last rate meeting of the year is coming soon. Whether 2026 will see aggressive rate cuts or preemptive ones is much more important than a single 25 basis point cut. Technically, the hourly chart already shows a bearish crossover at the highs, so there’s a good chance we’ll see another dip before Monday night. The 96,000-96,500 range could be the key area for a trend reversal.

The trading strategy is actually pretty clear: stay bearish first, then look for a chance to flip long. Consider opening short positions around 90,500-91,000, targeting 86,000-86,500. Once the price stabilizes, switch to longs and use the news to break out of the triangle consolidation. The profit potential from this trend shift shouldn’t be small.