After many years of doing contracts with #数字货币市场回调 , I discovered a harsh truth: those who survive in the end and can maintain stable profits all follow the same iron rule - always stand on the side of big capital.

Technical indicators can be changed, strategies can be adjusted, but if you can't see where the money flows, even the most sophisticated operations are useless. The market will not turn because of your judgment; only by actively keeping up with its rhythm can you make a living.

Many people lose because they go against the trend stubbornly. When the market is clearly rising, they insist on trying to short at the top; when the trend has already turned bad, they still fantasize about bottom fishing for a reversal. In the short term, there are indeed traps for both bulls and bears, and daily charts may show false breakouts, but in terms of weekly and monthly charts, those larger trend directions are established with real money, which retail investors cannot shake.

My current habit is: first look at the big framework, then find small opportunities. The larger the cycle, the less noise there is and the higher the win rate. Those who frequently open positions while staring at the minute chart usually end up getting swept away by the back and forth, leading them to doubt life. On the other hand, those who focus on the big trend can see clearly and hold on; when a main upward wave comes down, profits naturally emerge.

How to do it specifically? In fact, it can be summarized in four words: wait, observe, follow, and guard.

Before the direction is confirmed, it is better to stay out of the market than to act recklessly. Once the major trend is established, a small-level pullback is a signal to enter the market, so try with a light position; if you're wrong, accept it, and if you're right, hold on. Before the main upward wave ends, every small pullback is worth a bet because the inertia of the major trend is strong enough; you are benefiting from this certainty.

What is the most feared? A fluctuating mindset. Today bullish and going long, tomorrow bearish and reversing, the day after feeling like a reversal is coming. Frequent changes in direction will inevitably lead to emotional loss of control and account liquidation.

In the end, the core of trend trading is not to catch the absolute lows or highs, but to take a big bite out of the middle segment. Wait until the trend matures before taking action, the cost of trial and error is low, the margin for error is large, and the profits can be retained for a long time. Those who understand this principle find it increasingly easier to trade; those who do not will always be struggling against the market.