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The raid occurred at 5 AM on Monday, pushing $BTC directly down to 84756, which can be considered a second probe; it all depends on the performance of the US stock market this week.
December is the fund statement settlement month, and generally, the new year's plans will start to be laid out around Christmas (as Christmas is New Year in foreign countries); additionally, recently, Dongda has been cracking down hard on stablecoin trading, making it more difficult for new investors to enter the market.