The main support forces for ETH

Demand from institutions and ETFs: There are many signs that funds and institutional investors are increasing their accumulation of ETH — this helps bolster market confidence and could push prices up if real money flows in significantly.

Technical improvements & network upgrades: Enhancements in layer-2, sharding, and scalability of Ethereum help reduce transaction fees & increase usability — which is suitable if DeFi, tokenization of real assets (RWA), dApps continue to expand.

Opportunities for price increase in the medium to long term: Many analyses suggest that ETH could rise sharply from 2026 to 2027 and beyond if favorable conditions continue, such as good network interaction, increased adoption, limited supply...(.

⚠️ Risks and obstacles to be aware of

Volatility & technical adjustments remain high: Currently, ETH still has the potential to fluctuate quite strongly, with support/resistance levels that could cause the price to bounce back or drop sharply if the sentiment is poor.
Uncertain about the timing of the explosion: Some analyses suggest that although the "fundamentals" are good, ETH needs to break through important resistance levels to trigger the next bull run. If not - the price may remain stagnant for quite a while.
Competition & changes in the crypto industry: With the development of many other blockchains/layer-1/layer-2, Ethereum will need to maintain its technological, community, and application advantages — otherwise, competitive pressure may affect the value of ETH.

🔭 Possible scenarios in the next 6–18 months
Scenario / Stage Estimated price movement & ETH level*
Base scenario )side-way / accumulation( ETH fluctuates between $2,800 – $3,500, accumulating while waiting for good news from the market & network upgrade.
Medium-term scenario If institutional & ETF capital continues to flow in + network improvements → it could aim for $4,500 – $6,000.
Bull-run scenario / strong increase When DeFi adoption, RWA/real tokens increase, combined with optimistic sentiment → ETH could test $7,000 – $10,000+ in 2026-2027.
Cautious / Adjustment Scenario If the crypto market is weak and macroeconomic conditions are unfavorable → there is a possibility that ETH may drop back to $2,500 – $2,800 before recovering.

*Forecast for reference — Crypto is very volatile.

🎯 For you — when to consider entering ETH

If you invest long-term )12–24 months or more(: ETH has a lot of potential if network + adoption improves, so ETH can be considered a "core holding."

If you want to trade based on short-term / medium-term opportunities: You can monitor important technical levels )support/resistance(, volume, and volatility; avoid high leverage — as the risk is still high.

If you prioritize lower risk: Dollar Cost Averaging ) over time can minimize volatility risk.