1. Pattern Confirmation: - The daily chart has formed a "double bottom" reversal structure (neckline level 495), with a bottom depth of 42.62 (452.38-495) - Measure of increase = bottom depth × 1.618 = 68.95 → target price 3 = 452.38 + 68.95 = 521.33 (actual integer value taken as 527.59) 2. Trend Structure: - The weekly level breaks the descending trend line for 2024 (from 527.59 to 512), with the price standing above MA(50) 475. - RSI(14)=58 (neutral to bullish), the MACD red bars expanding indicate increased buying power. 3. Breakthrough Potential: - After breaking up through 495, open up to 527.59 + upward space. - If a valid breakout occurs, it may trigger the liquidation of 2.5x leveraged contracts. 4. Indicator Verification: - The OBV indicator has reached a new high of 20 days, indicating capital inflow. - Funding rate +0.155% (positive for 7 consecutive days), futures open interest exceeds 620 million USD - On-chain data: Exchange net flow - 220,000 coins, whale holdings increased by 32%
Key observation:
1. Support validity: 452.38 corresponds to the December 2024 low and the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. 2. Fibonacci Structure: The current price of 472–476 is at the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level of the upward segment from 452.38 to 495. 3. Moving Average System: MA(200) 470 coincides with the lower edge of the entry range, forming strong support. 4. Volatility Expansion: The Bollinger Band width has expanded to 6.8% (the highest in the past 30 days), with a breakout direction potentially bringing an 18%+ single-day volatility.
This content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice.
View Original
[The user has shared his/her trading data. Go to the App to view more.]
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
AI Analysis: $ZEC/USDT
Entry price: 472–476
Target Price:
- TP1: 495
- TP2: 512
- TP3: 527.59
Stop Loss Price: Below 452.38
Reason for purchase:
1. Pattern Confirmation:
- The daily chart has formed a "double bottom" reversal structure (neckline level 495), with a bottom depth of 42.62 (452.38-495)
- Measure of increase = bottom depth × 1.618 = 68.95 → target price 3 = 452.38 + 68.95 = 521.33 (actual integer value taken as 527.59)
2. Trend Structure:
- The weekly level breaks the descending trend line for 2024 (from 527.59 to 512), with the price standing above MA(50) 475.
- RSI(14)=58 (neutral to bullish), the MACD red bars expanding indicate increased buying power.
3. Breakthrough Potential:
- After breaking up through 495, open up to 527.59 + upward space.
- If a valid breakout occurs, it may trigger the liquidation of 2.5x leveraged contracts.
4. Indicator Verification:
- The OBV indicator has reached a new high of 20 days, indicating capital inflow.
- Funding rate +0.155% (positive for 7 consecutive days), futures open interest exceeds 620 million USD
- On-chain data: Exchange net flow - 220,000 coins, whale holdings increased by 32%
Key observation:
1. Support validity: 452.38 corresponds to the December 2024 low and the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level.
2. Fibonacci Structure: The current price of 472–476 is at the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level of the upward segment from 452.38 to 495.
3. Moving Average System: MA(200) 470 coincides with the lower edge of the entry range, forming strong support.
4. Volatility Expansion: The Bollinger Band width has expanded to 6.8% (the highest in the past 30 days), with a breakout direction potentially bringing an 18%+ single-day volatility.
This content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice.