Luck Theory: Don't clash with fate, learn to make way for good fortune.



The common point among wealthy people is not waking up early, reading books, or having a love for learning, but rather having encountered a few strokes of good luck. The remaining pile of "self-discipline changes fate" stories are mostly fairy tales written by the victors for the defeated. What you think is a methodology is actually a replay after the rehearsal.

I have always believed in a cruel formula:

Wealth = Luck × Timing × Track × Personal Non-Self-Sabotage Factor

Pay attention to the order

The ability is not in the front; the sooner you admit this, the less internal friction you will have.

What is "general luck"?

Don't reduce luck to "fate." Luck is your starting point + the people you can reach + the environment you enter + the character preferences shaped by these environments.

Why did you read that book? Why did you see that piece of information at a certain point? You think it's free will, but if you dig three layers down, it's all conditioned reflexes and path dependence.

"I rely on myself" is an emotional need, not a statement of fact.

Seeing through this layer, you feel relieved: it's not that you can't do it, it's that the situation is not right; it's not that you are foolish, it's that the track is wrong.

The fundamental difference between the poor and the rich

The life of the poor does not refer to having no money in the bank, but rather having their attention permanently occupied by small opportunities. Every day they are focused on transaction fees, trying to grab a few bucks, and searching for a turnaround within a 1% fluctuation. When you give your bandwidth to small money, the system has no time to embrace big fortune.

Fortune and wealth do not always come smoothly, but rather appear long-term in the position where "big money could happen:"

Stay with stronger people, remain in systems that amplify, and play games that provide positive feedback, compound interest, and visibility.

In a nutshell: While others are amplifying the odds in the same hour, you are just working on your stamina.

The myth of cognition should be retired.

"Cognition determines wealth" sounds very right, but where does cognition come from? It comes from encounters, from trial and error, from the risk window you can bear.

Who you can meet, whether you dare to make mistakes, and whether you have the capital to make mistakes, all of these happen to be called luck. Cognition is a byproduct of good luck, not the starting point.

What's the point of playing then? Make way for good luck.

I don't advise you to confront fate head-on; I advise you to change the "probability of being hit by good luck." Specifically, without listing a checklist, I'll mention four actions for you to integrate into yourself.

Change Game

Don't get stuck in the "the more you work, the more passive you become" track. Look for high ceiling, strong network effect, and compounding opportunities: content, distribution, capital, technology platforms, standard setting, traffic hubs, and protocol layers. In places where amplification occurs, ordinary abilities can also be straightened out.

Raise Odds

Don't focus on the hit rate, focus on the profit-loss ratio. Allow yourself to have small losses frequently, but you must protect against liquidation and keep your ammunition for the big turning points on the right side. "Do less of the meaningless correct, and do more of the high-odds possibilities."

exposure surface

Luck is like rain; you have to stand in it. Walk more with the strong, and make your achievements visible, allowing information, traffic, and capital to have the chance to collide with you. "If you are not seen, it is equivalent to not happening."

extinguish to death

Good luck comes, but many people still cannot catch it due to greed, impatience, heavy positions, and short-sightedness. Using leverage to an extreme can ruin your position, which is called a death sentence. "Staying at the table is more important than winning a hand."

And "preferences" reconciliation

I never play that kind of small Alpha because it's the wrong mechanics for me: it takes up bandwidth, doesn't amplify, and has no compound interest.

Note, this is my preference. You don't have to learn from me either.

The path to wealth has never been a test of values, but a management of probabilities. Find the path that you can pursue long-term and that has amplifiers; do not be held hostage by others' profit screenshots.

Quotes for losers are not motivational.

"Please let yourself go."

You can't turn over, and it may not really be your problem; it's a conspiracy of cycles and dimensions. Acknowledging it doesn't mean giving up; it's to save your strength for the next major cycle.
"Luck determines whether you have it, ability determines whether you can keep it."

When the opportunity arises, don’t ponder for three hours, just get on the bus; when the wind stops, don’t feel moved, just get off the bus. People should be like a switch, not a resistor.

Don't fight against fate, make friends with probability.

Put yourself on a track where good luck can strike, lock in the "right to self-destruct," max out "visibility," and raise the "profit and loss ratio."

When you do these things right, others will say you are "really lucky."

You just smile and say, "I just fixed the entrance to good luck in advance."

Good luck to everyone
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