#美联储降息展望 Important news: The latest data shows that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in October has reached 99.9%, which can almost be considered a certain event.

For cryptocurrency investors, it is crucial to remember the key time points: this Thursday at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate cut decision; then at 2:30, Powell will hold a press conference. This decision has a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, and the following is an in-depth analysis and response plan.

The Relationship Between Interest Rate Cuts and the Crypto Market

Lowering interest rates is essentially a measure by the Federal Reserve to release liquidity—when the interbank borrowing costs decrease, the circulating funds in the market increase. A certain proportion of this new capital will inevitably flow into the cryptocurrency asset sector, injecting new vitality into the market.

Historical data shows that the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting cycles are typically accompanied by price increases in mainstream crypto assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. The current market focus has shifted to the frequency and magnitude of rate cuts, and once the path for rate cuts becomes clear, it is likely to act as a catalyst for a new round of increases in the crypto market.

[Investor's Three-Step Response Strategy]

1. Adopt a staggered investment strategy: If the coin price rises rapidly after the announcement on Thursday morning, avoid impulsively chasing the highs. It is recommended to use dollar-cost averaging or a staggered buying approach to gradually increase holdings in mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, or promising small-cap tokens, which can effectively diversify risk.

2. Pay close attention to policy statements: The press conference at 2:30 AM is crucial. If Powell signals a continued easing stance, consider holding positions firmly; if his attitude is ambiguous or cautious, the market may experience fluctuations in the short term. At this time, remain calm and avoid emotional trading decisions.

3. Adhere to a long-term perspective: Once the Federal Reserve initiates a rate-cutting cycle, the medium to long-term impact on the cryptocurrency asset market is generally positive. Investors holding real positions (avoiding leveraged trading) should not easily sell due to short-term price fluctuations, as they may miss subsequent market opportunities.

Important reminder: Although the interest rate cut cycle provides good investment opportunities, remember not to put all your funds into the market and to stay away from leveraged operations. A steady and gradual investment strategy is the correct way to seize this opportunity.

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