Last time it fell below 100,000? Standard Chartered gives a prediction for Bitcoin, but where is the timing pit hidden?

In a recent report released by Standard Chartered Bank, it was mentioned that Bitcoin may be facing its "last chance" to fall below $100,000. Although this statement is quite sensational, investors should maintain a rational perspective and avoid blindly believing it.

First of all, it is clear that the views of mainstream institutions on Wall Street are often quite conservative. The wording such as "may" in their reports essentially highlights the uncertainty of predictions and cannot be directly taken as absolute investment guidance. From the potential logic supporting Standard Chartered's judgment, it can be roughly summarized in three points: First, from a macroeconomic perspective, if the Federal Reserve continues to maintain a high interest rate policy or there are signs of economic recession, Bitcoin, as a typical risk asset, will inevitably face valuation pressure; second, from a technical trend perspective, after Bitcoin has previously experienced a round of increase, there is a need for technical correction, which is a normal phenomenon in market operations; third, from a market sentiment perspective, $100,000 as a key integer threshold attracts high market attention. Whenever the price approaches this level, it triggers a large amount of profit-taking, further exacerbating short-term volatility.

However, this report has a significant information gap: it does not mention whether the specific time frame for the "last fall" is within a few weeks, nor does it clarify whether it extends to next year. The vague time definition greatly undermines the practical reference value of the prediction. More importantly, even if Bitcoin really falls below $100,000, it does not mean entering an ideal buy zone— the market could very well further dip to $90,000, $80,000, or even lower levels, and blindly entering the market may actually pose greater risks.
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