XRP recovers in line with market trends, but the outlook remains pessimistic

Ripple (XRP) is showing clear signs of recovery, rising nearly 3% on Tuesday to $1.42. The upward move from the intraday low of $1.36 occurred after U.S. President Donald Trump ordered the Department of Defense to temporarily halt plans to attack Iran’s energy infrastructure, amid ongoing negotiations between the two sides.

XRP tests recovery potential as Trump delays Iran attack

Donald Trump instructed the Department of Defense to postpone attacks on Iran’s power plants and energy facilities, citing positive signals from bilateral talks. He stated that negotiations would continue this week to de-escalate tensions in the Middle East.

On Truth Social, he emphasized that over the past two days, the U.S. and Iran have engaged in constructive exchanges aimed at resolving regional conflicts. Based on this, he decided to pause all military actions targeting Iran’s energy infrastructure for five days, provided that negotiations continue to make progress.

This development has helped improve market sentiment in the cryptocurrency space, pushing XRP back above $1.42. Previously, the market faced pressure at the end of the week when Trump warned that the U.S. might attack Iran’s energy facilities if the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz was not lifted.

In response to military moves by the U.S. and Israel, Iran has tightened maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and targeted oil facilities in the Gulf region. As a result, oil prices briefly exceeded $100, raising concerns about global inflation. However, following Trump’s new directive, oil prices cooled to around $88.

WTI Oil Price Chart## XRP ETF Capital Flows Slightly Rebound

U.S.-listed spot XRP ETFs saw modest inflows of $1.98 million on Friday, after two quiet trading days. According to CoinGlass data, the trend is showing slight improvement, with weekly average inflows reaching about $635,000 as of the end of the week.

Cumulatively, total inflows have reached $1.21 billion, while net asset value stands at $1.01 billion, according to SoSoValue. Steady capital inflows continue to bolster positive prospects for XRP amid improving risk appetite among investors.

XRP ETF Capital Flows | Source: SoSoValue## Technical Analysis: XRP recovers key support zone

XRP is currently trading around $1.42, with a short-term neutral bias. However, since the price remains below the 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs (all above $1.49), long-term downward pressure has not yet eased. Notably, the resistance trendline extending from the $3.66 high continues to cap rebounds, suggesting that the recent rally from $1.30 may be just a correction within a larger downtrend.

Momentum is gradually weakening. The MACD histogram has narrowed after a period of positive expansion, while the MACD line remains above zero but shows signs of reversal on the daily chart. The RSI at 49, close to neutral, indicates accumulation rather than a clear bullish trend.

Daily XRP/USDT Chart | Source: TradingView Technically, the nearest resistance zone is around $1.45, followed by $1.54 — a key level near the recent high but still insufficient to break the downtrend. Only a daily close above $1.54 would invalidate the bearish structure, opening the possibility of a move toward $1.67.

On the downside, support is near $1.40. If this level is broken, the price could retreat to $1.36 and further down to $1.32 — the next demand zone. Losing $1.32 would reinforce the bearish trend and increase the risk of XRP returning to the psychological level of $1.12.