Dogecoin Price Prediction: Support at 0.115 USD Could Trigger Drop to 0.10 USD

2025-12-19 07:13:34
Dogecoin (DOGE) has recently experienced a clear decline in market momentum. Stalled ETF inflows, reduced holdings by major investors, and bearish indicators in the derivatives market are all shaping a conservative short-term price outlook. Technically, if DOGE cannot break above the $0.13 resistance level, its price may retreat to the $0.115–$0.10 range—an area now serving as a critical support level for investors.

Market Momentum Weakens, DOGE ETF Inflows Stall

Dogecoin’s recent performance in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has slowed significantly. Since December 11, neither the Grayscale nor Bitwise DOGE ETFs have seen any new inflows, with cumulative investments since launch totaling only about $2 million.

Assets under management currently stand at roughly $5.2 million, which represents just a tiny fraction of Dogecoin’s total market cap. In contrast, other altcoin ETFs like XRP and Solana have attracted hundreds of millions of dollars, making DOGE ETF’s lackluster performance stand out and underscoring a decline in investor risk appetite. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains firmly in the fear zone, reflecting a broadly cautious market mood.

Whale Activity and Derivatives Market Flash Bearish Signals

On-chain data indicates that large holders are pulling back. Wallets with 100 million to 1 billion DOGE have reduced their balances by over 1 billion tokens since early December. The share of DOGE holders in profit has dropped to around 50%, meaning fewer investors are seeing gains.

The derivatives market also signals caution. Short positions now make up more than half of all open interest, and over $5 million in long positions were liquidated in the past 24 hours. The drop in open interest further suggests that speculative sentiment is fading, with little evidence of aggressive dip buying.

Technical Support Levels to Watch

Technically, DOGE is trading between $0.123 and $0.126, a support zone tested multiple times since April. If the price fails to break above the $0.13 resistance, further declines are likely. Initial support lies near $0.12, with the main support at $0.115. A break below $0.115 could see prices fall to $0.105 or even $0.10.

Trade DOGE spot markets now: https://www.gate.com/trade/DOGE_USDT

Summary

DOGE’s short-term outlook remains cautious. Stalled ETF inflows, reduced whale holdings, and bearish derivatives data all reinforce downside pressure. If DOGE cannot break above $0.13, investors should watch for possible further corrections, with the $0.115 to $0.10 range as the key support zone.

Author: Allen
Disclaimer
* The information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Gate.
* This article may not be reproduced, transmitted or copied without referencing Gate. Contravention is an infringement of Copyright Act and may be subject to legal action.

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