There is a very different energy happening in the cryptocurrency market right now. After so much pessimism, concrete signs are starting to appear that a crypto rally could be coming sooner than many expected.



What is moving things? First, there is the scheduled vote in the Senate on the Cryptocurrency Market Structure Bill, which could come out soon. Senator Rick Scott, who chairs the Senate Banking Committee, confirmed that the vote will take place next week. People believe this will pass, especially with the support it has been receiving. If approved, it will create a legal space for crypto companies to operate better in the US and generate more jobs in the sector. Traders on Polymarket are quite optimistic that this time it will go through.

But what is really catching attention is Bitcoin’s technical setup. The currency formed a well-defined ascending triangle pattern on the chart, with horizontal resistance around $94,468 and a diagonal trend line connecting the drops since November. The price is testing this diagonal line now, and it looks poised to break upward soon. When that happens, we’ll likely see BTC surpass the $100 thousand mark in the short term, which will pull altcoins along with it.

Another important point is the shift in sentiment. The Fear and Greed Index moved out of the extreme fear zone, from 10, and jumped to 40, into the neutral zone. Historically, when this index moves into greed territory, cryptocurrencies tend to rise significantly. This means market participants have shifted from extreme risk aversion to a more balanced stance, and that is exactly the kind of change that precedes a significant crypto rally.

On the macroeconomic side, things are also aligned. The US employment report for December was weak, with only 55k new jobs versus the 70k expected, increasing the chances that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates. Inflation is falling, and there is expectation of more fiscal stimulus. When the money supply increases, part of that money inevitably flows into cryptocurrencies. The global M2 supply is expected to continue rising this year, which historically favors Bitcoin and altcoins.

Technical indicators also show strength. Open interest in futures is stabilizing at healthy levels, and stablecoin withdrawals from exchanges have normalized. These two signals together indicate real market support behind this, not just speculation.

Of course, Bitcoin is still about 38% below its all-time high of $126.08K, so there is room for recovery. But with these political catalysts, favorable technical analysis, the shift in sentiment, and macroeconomic tailwinds, it seems the crypto market is putting the pieces together for an interesting upward move. It’s worth watching the next steps in Congress and how Bitcoin behaves at these technical resistances.
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