Investment is essentially a "probability game," not simply relying on skills or short-term judgment. A person's investment success rate depends on their knowledge structure and cognitive breadth, especially their understanding of history, politics, military affairs, human nature, and other fields, which all enhance their ability to judge the probabilities of event developments. Those lacking these accumulations are actually in a low-probability state in the market; even if they profit in the short term through luck, they may ultimately lose it back due to insufficient cognition. Therefore, true investment ability comes from long-term knowledge accumulation and comprehensive cognition, not short-term speculation or persona packaging; people without foundational cognitive support find it difficult to sustain good investment performance.