CoStar: U.S. retail vacancy expected to rise ‘minimally’ in first half of 2026

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CoStar forecasts that U.S. retail vacancy will rise minimally in the first half of 2026 before declining slightly later in the year and into 2027. Despite receding, store closures are anticipated to increase in early 2026 as a bifurcated retail sales environment prompts some tenants to reduce locations. The stable outlook is supported by a resumption of positive demand in late 2025, although downside risks related to tariffs and potential price increases remain.

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