A recently overlooked key signal has emerged in the market: the 52-week correlation between BTC and gold has directly fallen below zero and is about to turn negative. This means the two major safe-haven assets that once "banded together" for mutual support are now completely diverging.

How important is this divergence? Looking at the historical data from the past five years makes it clear—each time this situation occurs, BTC's average gain over the next 60 days can reach 56%. The last similar turning point appeared in mid-2022, and seasoned investors should still remember the subsequent trend.

The current macro environment is only adding fuel to the fire. Global liquidity has begun to loosen, and the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle has essentially come to an end. According to forecasts from research institutions, a new round of monetary easing could continue until 2026. This is not a short-term stimulus but a complete cycle shift.

The underlying logic of the market is also quietly changing. In the past, market sentiment and hot spots drove the market; now, it is shifting toward genuine support from the funding side. Abundant liquidity means funds can more easily flow into risk assets, and BTC, as the most representative risk asset, naturally takes the lead. This macro support is not a temporary policy stimulus but a true signal of a major cycle transition. The question now is not whether it will rise but how much it can rise.