2026-01-11 20:20:58

The probability of a rate cut in January has fallen sharply to just 4%, signaling a major shift in market expectations. Following three consecutive rate cuts, the Federal Reserve appears set to hit the pause button, keeping benchmark rates steady in the near term. This pivot from the Fed's cutting cycle to a holding pattern will likely influence risk asset valuations and crypto market momentum in the coming months. Traders and investors are recalibrating their positions accordingly as the tightening cycle winds down.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

FlashLoanPrince

· 11h ago

4%? That probability is almost gone, it feels like the Fed is really about to stop. Wait, so does this mean the crypto market needs to adjust its expectations? After three consecutive cuts, pausing suddenly feels a bit abrupt.

View OriginalReply0

RektButStillHere

· 11h ago

A 4% chance? The Fed is really about to stop, we have to accept this reality.

View OriginalReply0

MEVictim

· 11h ago

Wait, a 4% chance? It's going to crash directly. It seems like Mr. Bao is really going to hit the brakes.

View OriginalReply0

GasSavingMaster

· 11h ago

Oh no, no more cuts now, the crypto market is going to fall.

View OriginalReply0

MEVHunterBearish

· 11h ago

Damn, 4%? Are they treating us like fools? Wait... the pause cycle has arrived, those holding positions are in danger. The Federal Reserve is really sneaky, changing the wording to continue harvesting profits. The market is about to turn, brothers, I think this wave is not simple. Paused? So when will the price start to rise?

View OriginalReply0

RooftopVIP

· 11h ago

4%？ The Federal Reserve is really going to pause, huh? The crypto market will have to re-evaluate now. --- Damn, I thought there might be another move in January, but it turned out to be a straight 4%... Fed really played hard this time. --- Wait, does pause mean they will continue to raise interest rates later? Don’t be fooled, everyone. --- After three hikes, they stop. This pace is really a bit confusing; looks like we’ll have to wait until the second half of the year. --- So, should I hold or reduce my position now? What do you all think? I’m a bit confused. --- 4% is really just a joke number; our coins still have to fall. --- With this pause from the Fed, where will the funds flow? Into the crypto market? Don’t be naive.

View OriginalReply0