January 7, 13:00 (UTC+8) ETH Quote approximately 3,265, short-term oscillation at highs, medium-term bullish bias, key focus on breakout direction of 3,300-3,307 resistance and 3,180-3,200 support.
Core Key Levels
- Resistance: 3,300-3,307 (yesterday's high 3,307, failed twice to establish above); 3,350 (daily line previous high cluster); 3,400 (psychological level) - Support: 3,250 (oscillation midline); 3,180-3,200 (today's early low/platform breakout); 3,100 (4-hour SMA20/midline); 3,050-3,080 (daily line strong support)
- Pattern: Rally to 3,307 pullback to 3,181 followed by quick rebound, high-level oscillation digesting weak hands, 3,180-3,200 buying pressure effective - Volume: Pullback on volume, rebound on lower volume, caution short-term chasing highs, key level breakout requires volume confirmation of direction
Trading Strategy (Executable)
- Long (Conservative): Entry on hourly close above 3,270, stop loss below 3,250; Target 1: 3,300, Target 2: 3,307, Target 3: 3,350 - Short (Conservative): Entry on hourly close below 3,180, stop loss above 3,210; Target 1: 3,100, Target 2: 3,050 - Position Sizing: Single direction ≤30%, total position ≤50%, strict stop loss discipline, avoid chasing rallies or panic selling near 3,250-3,270
Risk & Outlook
- Risk Points: BTC correlation, ETF fund flows, on-chain activity volatility; break below 3,050 turns medium-term bias bearish - Medium-term Outlook: Hold above 3,050 maintains bull setup, breakout of 3,307 on volume targets 3,350-3,400; loss of 3,050 looks to 3,000-3,050 range
January 7, 13:00 (UTC+8) ETH Quote approximately 3,265, short-term oscillation at highs, medium-term bullish bias, key focus on breakout direction of 3,300-3,307 resistance and 3,180-3,200 support.
Core Key Levels
- Resistance: 3,300-3,307 (yesterday's high 3,307, failed twice to establish above); 3,350 (daily line previous high cluster); 3,400 (psychological level)
- Support: 3,250 (oscillation midline); 3,180-3,200 (today's early low/platform breakout); 3,100 (4-hour SMA20/midline); 3,050-3,080 (daily line strong support)
Multi-Timeframe Indicators (as of 13:00)
- 1-hour: RSI≈49.8 (neutral), MACD bearish crossover, momentum weakening, short-term weak oscillation, bullish turn above 3,270
- 4-hour: RSI≈57.3 (bullish bias), MACD bullish slowdown, bull structure intact, awaiting volume confirmation
- Daily: RSI≈60.5 (bullish bias), MACD bullish, trading above 20/50-day SMA, medium-term bullish
Pattern & Volume
- Pattern: Rally to 3,307 pullback to 3,181 followed by quick rebound, high-level oscillation digesting weak hands, 3,180-3,200 buying pressure effective
- Volume: Pullback on volume, rebound on lower volume, caution short-term chasing highs, key level breakout requires volume confirmation of direction
Trading Strategy (Executable)
- Long (Conservative): Entry on hourly close above 3,270, stop loss below 3,250; Target 1: 3,300, Target 2: 3,307, Target 3: 3,350
- Short (Conservative): Entry on hourly close below 3,180, stop loss above 3,210; Target 1: 3,100, Target 2: 3,050
- Position Sizing: Single direction ≤30%, total position ≤50%, strict stop loss discipline, avoid chasing rallies or panic selling near 3,250-3,270
Risk & Outlook
- Risk Points: BTC correlation, ETF fund flows, on-chain activity volatility; break below 3,050 turns medium-term bias bearish
- Medium-term Outlook: Hold above 3,050 maintains bull setup, breakout of 3,307 on volume targets 3,350-3,400; loss of 3,050 looks to 3,000-3,050 range
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