We are facing the same problem.
If you are currently in cash,
Seeing #BTC drop to 80,000 now is a bit tempting,
But you want to continue waiting for lower levels, such as 70,000, 60,000, 50,000, and so on for the "perfect buying point."
Then a question that made everyone anxious arose:
Is it more painful to be in cash while BTC rises to 100,000?
Is it more painful to buy now and see the result drop to 60,000?
Trading is about making choices between the pains of these two factions.
First faction: The waiting faction - "Better to miss out than to be trapped"
The logic of this school is usually:
"The structure hasn't reversed" "It's not cleaned up yet" "There will definitely be another opportunity."
From a long-term perspective, their inference has a certain rationality:
Initially dropped from 125,000 to 80,000, the rebound is limited. The trading volume is weak, overall resembling a continuation of the downward trend. 60,000 to 70,000 serves as a central support range, which is very reasonable.
But what is the real risk?
The pain of being empty-handed is not losing money, but rather:
Watching others make money.
This is a typical ---
"Fear of Missing Out (FOMO negative form)."
And what most short sellers experience is:
Waiting for 80,000 → Waiting for 70,000 to reach 70,000 → Feel like I should wait for 60,000, 50,000, 40,000 to return to 90,000 → Dare not chase it back to 100,000 → Emotional breakdown, getting on is even harder.
Holding no position is the safest, yet the most torturous.
Second faction: Early entry faction - "Don't predict the lowest point"
The other group's thinking is completely different:
I won't guess the bottom, just