Last week (10/20–10/26), the market showed: "China-US trade negotiations released positive news, expectations for FOMC rate cuts intensified, and market risk appetite significantly rebounded."
Over the weekend, it was reported that trade representatives from China and the United States reached a framework agreement, with China planning to ease rare earth exports and the US promising to temporarily suspend 100% tariff measures. The cryptocurrency market reacted first, with BTC breaking through 113k and ETH rising above 4.1k. The market expects that US stock futures will continue to rise this week, and overall sentiment has turned positive.
However, investors should be vigilant: if the outcome of the Xi-Trump meeting is not as expected or if the negotiations break down, the market may reverse in the short term.
1｜Market Environment Overview
BTC: After breaking through 113k, it stabilized in the range of 112k–116k, with a short-term target of 118k; ETF net inflows remain positive, and funding rates have slightly turned positive.
ETH: Strongly broke through 4.1k, with funds concentrated in the L2 ecosystem, support at 4.0k, and resistance at 4.3k.
SOL: Maintaining a high volatility trend, in the range of 195–210; funds continue to flow in, becoming popular for swing trading.
Derivatives: Deribit Bitcoin options open interest has hit a record high of over 50 billion USD, reflecting an increase in market participation.
— The nominal size of the 100k USD Put option has reached 2 billion USD, indicating rising hedging demand.
— Open interest exceeds 450,000 contracts, with some traders shifting to out-of-the-money Call options to capitalize on volatility rebounds.
Macro/Policy: CPI is below expectations, inflation pressure is easing, and the market generally expects the FOMC to cut rates by 25bp this week.
Conclusion: The market has entered a state of coexistence of "optimistic expectations + active hedging," with short-term trading maintaining a cautious pace and focusing on light leverage.
2｜Four Gate Ultra AI Strategy Features
| Assets | Strategy Type | Near 7 d ROI* | Volatility Risk Level | Typical application scenarios |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USDT | Contract Grid 2× | 7% | middle | Operate in the range of 112k–118k, using low leverage for a long position. |
| ETH/USDT | Spot Grid | 9% | middle | 4.0k–4.2k oscillating upwards, narrowing the gap in short segments |
| SOL/USDT | Spot Grid | 15% | high | High volatility trend rebound, quick grid in batches |
| HYPE/USDT | Spot Grid | 12% | extremely high | The popularity of new themes continues, small position fast grid (±10%) |
3｜This Week’s Hot New Coin Radar
| Popularity | Cryptocurrency |
|---|---|
| ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ | SUBHUB |
| ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | WBAI |
| ⭐⭐⭐ | ZBT |
4｜Suggested Capital Allocation and Risk Control
| Currency | Weight | Purpose | Key Parameters |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USDT (Contract Grid 2×) | 35% | Core Position | Range 112k–118k; Leverage ≤2×; Stop loss 110k. |
| ETH/USDT (Spot Grid) | 25% | Mainstream defensive position | Pay attention to the 4.0k support, low-frequency operations. |
| SOL/USDT (Spot Grid) | 25% | High Volatility Arbitrage | Range 190–210; ±8% take profit/stop loss. |
| HYPE/USDT (Spot Grid) | 15% | Thematic Heat Short-term Strategy | Small position, fast grid (±10%); strictly adhere to stop loss. |
5｜Important Event Reminders This Week
| Date (GMT+8) | Time | Event |
|---|---|---|
| 10/30 (Thursday) | 2:00 | FOMC announced the interest rate decision for October |
| 10/30 (Thursday) | 2:30 | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s speech |
| 10/31 (Friday) | 20:30 | U.S. September PCE Price Index |
