At 3 a.m., my phone buzzed so hard it almost fell off the nightstand. My buddy sent a voice message: “Bro, I’m about to lose it… I jumped into XRP at 0.72, couldn’t hold at 0.65 and sold, and the next day it bounced right back to 0.7. Is this market targeting my wallet on purpose?”
I replied, “You’re not trading crypto, you’re crossing the street with your eyes closed. Didn’t even look at the traffic lights—no wonder you get hit.”
Back when he first entered the space three years ago, he relied on his IQ—he’d tested over 140—and thought market volatility was just a math problem. But after a year of chasing pumps and panic selling, he lost 80% of his principal, and even his girlfriend left him with a final message: “Get a grip,” before blocking him.
At that time, I gave him eight words: **Only buy when there’s a buy signal, only sell when there’s a sell signal.**
He later turned those eight words into his own “Intersection Rule”—and with this approach, not only did he recover $60,000 of the $80,000 he’d lost, but his account finally went from red to glowing green.
# His System Is Actually Simple
He watches three things on the 4-hour K-line: the 60-day moving average (for overall trend), the MACD bars (to gauge momentum), and trading volume (to verify moves). He only acts when all three indicators line up.
**First, the Red Light—No Signal Means You Pretend You Have No Internet**
On December 1, XRP was holding at 0.72 and everyone online was shouting “to the moon.” He pulled up the chart: MACD lines crossing downward, volume down nearly 30% from the previous day.
He forced himself not to place an order. The next day, XRP crashed straight to 0.66, a drop of over 8%. The group chat was flooded with liquidation screenshots, while he quietly posted a “traffic light saved me” emoji.
For the next few days, XRP kept sliding around 0.66, with volume still weak. He kept playing dead—because the green light hadn’t appeared yet.
**Next, the Green Light—Wait for All Three Indicators Before You Hit the Gas**
On the morning of December 3, XRP dropped to 0.52. He stared at the screen for ten minutes: the MACD had just formed a golden cross, the 60-day line was flattening out, and volume suddenly spiked to 1.8 times the previous day.
He went in with 20% of his capital, 20x leverage long, stop loss set at 0.498 (his lifeline), take profit at 0.558 (risk-reward ratio 1:2). That afternoon, the price hit his target, and he closed the position for a direct profit of $6,000.
**Finally, the Yellow Light—There’s a Hint, But It’s Not Enough**
Now, XRP is dithering around 0.548, volume is shrinking again, and the MACD red bars are stalling out. His move: pull out his principal to lock in profits, and leave only 30% of his position still running.
He says, “The yellow light is telling you don’t rush—wait for the real green light.”
# The Data Doesn’t Lie
This year, XRP’s price swings reached 82%, and total liquidations across the network hit $2.47 billion. Using this method, my buddy achieved a 67% win rate and kept his maximum drawdown at 11%.
The craziest part: his ex suddenly added him back on WeChat a couple of days ago, opening with, “You finally stopped posting those crying-loss stories on your feed.”
Now, his phone lock screen has three lines:
- Go to the gym during red light phases
- Write a trading diary during yellow light phases
- When the green light appears, set a stop loss (don’t open a position if the risk-reward is less than 1:2)
# The Market Is Still the Same Market
Volatility hasn’t changed, and there are always new waves of people getting liquidated. But see, when your rules change, so do your results.
Next time you see a spot like 0.52, remember three things: wait for the signal, control your position size, and keep your mindset steady.
The ones who survive and profit in this market aren’t those who predict best, but those who know how to wait and execute.
Are you ready for the next green light?