$ARB Signal】1H Oversold Rebound Trading, Short Squeeze Opportunity Under Negative Funding Rates



$ARB The 1H timeframe has formed a double bottom near 0.094, with RSI (42.94) rebounding from the oversold zone, indicating a potential rebound. Although the 4H timeframe is in a downtrend, the price has moved away from the EMA20 (0.1025), suggesting a technical correction is needed. Negative funding rates (-0.0106%) combined with stable open interest indicate a short squeeze risk, and a short-term rebound is imminent.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

🎯Entry/Order: 0.0965 - 0.0970 (Reason: Stabilizes above 1H EMA20 and previous small platform)

🛑Stop Loss: 0.0940 (Reason: Break below 1H double bottom structure and recent strong support)

🚀Target 1: 0.0990 (Reason: Resistance at 4H previous high and EMA20)

🚀Target 2: 0.1020 (Reason: 1.618 Fibonacci extension level and psychological barrier)

🛡️Trading Management:

- Position Size Suggestion: Light (Reason: 4H trend remains bearish; this is a counter-trend rebound play)

- Execution Strategy: After reaching Target 1, move stop loss up to entry point 0.0965. For the remaining position, target Target 2; if the 1H candle closes below EMA20 (0.0967), exit early.

Deep Logic: Market depth shows unusually thick buy orders in the 0.0950-0.0960 range, forming an invisible support wall. Open interest remains stable; the price declines but does not trigger a liquidation, indicating no main force distribution. The 1H RSI shows initial bullish divergence. In a negative funding rate environment, a surge in buy orders could trigger a chain reaction of short covering. Currently, the price is at a critical point between bulls and bears, with a favorable risk-reward ratio.

View real-time market 👇 $ARB

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