Based on current market dynamics, here are today’s strategic recommendations for Bitcoin:

1. Short-term Trading Strategy: Focus on Key Support Levels and Volatility Opportunities

Bitcoin is currently fluctuating within the $85,000–$90,000 range. Technical analysis indicates both downside risk and potential for a rebound. If the price tests the key support at $80,000, consider initiating a small position and set a stop-loss at $83,000. If there is a rebound breaking through the $95,000 resistance level, a light position can be taken, targeting the $100,000 psychological barrier. Note that market liquidity is currently low, which may increase volatility, so it is advised to keep positions under 10%.

2. Medium- to Long-term Positioning: Combine Dollar-Cost Averaging with Sentiment Indicators

For long-term investors, a dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategy is recommended, such as investing a fixed amount weekly to mitigate short-term volatility risk. Also, monitor market sentiment indicators. For example, the net asset premium of the digital asset investment company Strategy has dropped to 1.0. Historical data shows that such extreme readings often signal a cyclical bottom, making it suitable to gradually accumulate on dips.

3. Risk Hedging: Utilizing Stablecoins and Options

To address potential downside risk, convert 20%–30% of your portfolio into stablecoins, retaining cash to capture lower entry points. In the derivatives market, protective put options with a $90,000 strike price are actively traded and are suitable for investors sensitive to downside risk, as they can lock in maximum potential losses.

4. Macro Focus: Central Bank Policies and Capital Flows

The Bank of Japan’s expected rate hike in December (probability has risen to 80%) may trigger the unwinding of yen carry trades, intensifying Bitcoin volatility. Pay attention as well to the US Federal Reserve’s possible rate cut in December (market expectation probability at 80%). A shift to a more accommodative policy could boost risk asset sentiment. It is recommended to track the US Dollar Index, US Treasury yields, and crypto market capital flows daily.

Kind Reminder: The cryptocurrency market is influenced by multiple factors. Strategies should be adjusted according to individual risk tolerance, and leverage should be avoided. #成长值抽奖赢iPhone17和周边