Jinshi data, January 20th news, analysts from the financial website Forexlive stated that at the current stage, any rapid imposition of tariffs will be viewed by the market as a negative risk factor. Previously, there were reports from multiple media outlets that Trump will soon issue executive orders related to immigration, energy, and government recruitment policies. However, there was no mention of tariffs in these leaked reports. Based on the information currently available, it is reasonable to conclude that ‘tariffs (related policies) will not be announced today.’ Of course, it is worth noting that we have learned from Trump’s first government that the formulation of government policies may be unstable and unpredictable. Therefore, instead of reaching a conclusive conclusion, it is better to reach a tentative conclusion with probability. Based on political factors, it seems that there is a 75% - 80% chance that tariffs will not be imposed on the first day, giving us some room for maneuver.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
Analyst: Trump's first day in office, the 'leaked' executive order does not show any trace of tariffs.
Jinshi data, January 20th news, analysts from the financial website Forexlive stated that at the current stage, any rapid imposition of tariffs will be viewed by the market as a negative risk factor. Previously, there were reports from multiple media outlets that Trump will soon issue executive orders related to immigration, energy, and government recruitment policies. However, there was no mention of tariffs in these leaked reports. Based on the information currently available, it is reasonable to conclude that ‘tariffs (related policies) will not be announced today.’ Of course, it is worth noting that we have learned from Trump’s first government that the formulation of government policies may be unstable and unpredictable. Therefore, instead of reaching a conclusive conclusion, it is better to reach a tentative conclusion with probability. Based on political factors, it seems that there is a 75% - 80% chance that tariffs will not be imposed on the first day, giving us some room for maneuver.