The US used to pretend that fighting in the Middle East was for oil.

Now it's easier—straits open and close randomly, tariffs sometimes imposed and sometimes not, sometimes increased and sometimes not, WTI, Brent crude, and NASDAQ futures start to twitch on their own.
Dealing with oil directly is too slow. Drilling, extraction, refining, shipping, sales—none of these are as quick as a single sentence before the market opens to make money.
In the past, aircraft carriers would go and seize oil fields; now, just open your mouth to collect margin, and long and short traders line up to pay tribute themselves.
Iran probably also has experts.
Fighting Israel, Saudi Arabia, these allies—Trump may say he cares, but the market might not feel the same.
If you really want to hurt him, don’t target US stocks at open; target his US stock positions during the market’s off-hours.
Oil prices, inflation expectations, NASDAQ futures all jump together—market makers would even be reaching for a cigarette.
In the past, wars killed people; now, before the war is even clear, the first to die are the accounts of traders betting on futures on both sides.
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