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Bitcoin Cycle Pattern Revealed: The 80% Crash After the Parabola Is Still Unfinished
An experienced trader pointed out that as confidence in fiat currencies declines, the performance of digital assets will diverge. Altcoins have a bleak outlook, while Bitcoin, often called "digital gold," remains unstable and may face strong competition. He also mentioned the pattern of Bitcoin's movements: after a sharp surge, there is often an 80% correction, and the current downtrend has not yet ended. This reminds us that the performance differences among various assets may exceed expectations.
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BTC0,28%
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DegenWhisperervip:
Has the 80% decline not been completed yet? Bro, your prediction is way too pessimistic. I bet five bucks he said the same thing in the last cycle.
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The Federal Reserve Chair candidate has been finalized: Trump promises to maintain independence, and all four candidates are acceptable to the Senate.
The Trump administration's Treasury Department emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve, indicating that the incoming chair will not significantly change monetary policy. For the crypto market, this means clear expectations for monetary policy, which helps stabilize asset allocation.
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OldLeekConfessionvip:
Wait, all four candidates are acceptable to the Senate? What does this mean—just political compromise, honestly, it doesn't matter who comes in. Anyway, in the crypto world, the only thing we care about is liquidity—just don't make a sudden turn.
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Next week's token unlock overview: ZRO, PLUME, RIVER, and six other major tokens to experience liquidity release
Next week will see multiple major token unlock events, which are expected to impact market liquidity. The main tokens include LayerZero, Plume, and Humanity, with a total unlock market value of $170 million. Traders should pay attention to corresponding price and trading volume changes.
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ZRO-2,37%
PLUME-0,75%
MBG-0,76%
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BridgeTrustFundvip:
Another unlocking wave... The 39.75% of PLUME is really shocking. Why didn't you give an early warning?
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Major investor Huang Licheng increased his ZEC holdings by $246,000 in 3 hours, with total holdings exceeding $45 million
Huang Licheng recently increased his ZEC long positions by approximately $246,000, with the average cost decreasing to $411.29. Although there is still an unrealized loss, he remains confident in the market. At the same time, he took profit on HYPE and ETH contracts, with the total long position in his account approaching $45 million, and recent unrealized gains exceeding $2.538 million.
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ZEC-3,51%
HYPE-1,5%
ETH1,24%
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FUD_Vaccinatedvip:
Huang Licheng's move, daring to play with $45 million like this, really has a lot of spare cash. I'm just puzzled—ZEC is already floating at a loss, yet he still dares to add to his position. Is this confidence or just throwing a tantrum?
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Creator Annual Big Gift Pack: X Platform Offers $1 Million Reward for High-Quality Content
Platform X plans to increase support for creators in 2026, calling 2025 the "Year of Creators," with a focus on in-depth content and long-form articles. The latest incentive program offers rewards of up to $1 million to encourage original, high-quality articles. Participants must adhere to community policies, and opportunities are primarily available to users in the United States.
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MoneyBurnervip:
A million dollars coming in, and you want me to write a long article again? You said the same thing last time when short videos were trending...

Can long articles really stand out, or will they just get buried by the algorithm again?

Is this plan reliable, buddy? Do you have on-chain data?

Honestly, I believe half, and I'll try building a position first to test the waters.

It's the usual New Year new atmosphere routine; last year, short articles were hyped the same way...

If they really offered a million, I wouldn't have anything to say. I would immediately shift to in-depth content.

Let's talk after the data comes out. Right now, it's all just PPTs.
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Global Central Bank Strategy Shift Behind Gold's 45-Year High
The global financial landscape is undergoing profound changes, with gold prices expected to rise by over 60% by 2025. Central banks' changing attitudes towards gold, significant growth in global gold demand, active trading in the Hong Kong gold market, and accelerated infrastructure development all reflect increased economic uncertainty and a diversified asset allocation demand.
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OnchainFortuneTellervip:
Central banks are stockpiling gold, while retail investors are still getting chopped up. That's the gap.

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A 60% increase sounds simple, but by the time you get in, the rise is already over. Are you buying now?

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Hong Kong's daily trading volume reaches 2.9 billion HKD... sounds impressive, but we need to ask how much of this is real demand versus speculative trading.

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Gold is rising so sharply—are central banks really scared? Or is the US dollar about to have issues?

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Traditional markets are also starting to heat up, even gold is getting creative. The crypto world should be anxious, haha.

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Where is the promised decentralization? Turns out, central banks are still the most aggressive with gold.

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Wait, gold has risen so much. Why don’t I feel much? Is the problem with me or the market?
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From 1 billion to 77 billion, a 90% drop: The crypto miracle and dilemma created by political figure Meme coins
The Meme coin TRUMP launched by Trump quickly ignited the market after its debut, with its market capitalization soaring from $1 billion to $20 billion, setting a record. However, the coin's price then sharply declined, prompting deeper reflection on the nature of the crypto market. This event highlights the contradiction between hype and the ideals of decentralization, as well as the influence of political power on the crypto space.
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TRUMP-2,24%
SOL-0,7%
DOGE-0,05%
SHIB-0,85%
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BakedCatFanboyvip:
Wow, this move is crazy. A billion directly skyrocketed to over 70 billion. This is political power... Then a somersault that crashes to one-tenth, so exciting.
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Antique whale sells off again: 5,000 BTC bought at $332 twelve years ago now hits a new cash-out high
An early Bitcoin investor accumulated 5,000 BTC at $332 in 2013, and recently sold 500 BTC. His total profit has reached $260 million. He currently still holds 2,500 BTC, which is estimated to be worth approximately $237 million at the current price, demonstrating a prudent investment style.
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BTC0,28%
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FrontRunFightervip:
ngl, this whale's been playing the longest hodl game and now just casually exits with 2.6B profit like it's nothing... but here's what bothers me—why the sudden dump now? classic market manipulation setup if you ask me. moves that size don't happen without orchestrating the liquidity dark forest first. frontrunning his own exit probably netted him another 50M+ easy.
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Platform X smart asset tagging upgrade: real-time on-chain minted asset queries, DEX small tokens can also be searched
Platform X is developing an intelligent asset tagging feature, but the existing backend query system faces difficulties in retrieving small-cap cryptocurrencies. Product manager Nikata Bier pointed out that the API can process newly minted assets in real-time and theoretically identify tokens that have not yet been listed on exchanges. When asked about future trading features, Bier responded with "Stay tuned," indicating that the feature is still under evaluation.
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DuckFluffvip:
Small coin queries have always been a difficult problem, and poor DEX liquidity also makes it easy to encounter pitfalls.
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Monero's 44% increase in 5 days: Privacy features become regulatory stumbling blocks
Monero's recent price has increased by 44%, with a 19% surge on January 12th alone, but there is no clear reason, and no significant protocol or policy changes. Despite lively social media discussions, its privacy features have led exchanges to generally avoid listing it, limiting its prospects for mainstream market adoption. The future sustainability of its upward trend remains uncertain.
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OnchainHolmesvip:
It's the same story again, privacy coins are forever the pain point.

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They rise quickly and fall just as fast. Without fundamentals, it's just a house of cards.

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Exchanges are all scared now. Why would retail investors dare to buy in?

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Defaulting to privacy is indeed a brilliant move, but it also shackles itself.

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If the regulatory hurdle can't be cleared, no matter how much it rises, it's pointless.

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44% in five days? That looks like a signal to cut the leeks.

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Privacy features are indeed attractive, but unfortunately, they can't be exchanged for real money.

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This is called a false rally. Coins without exchange support are dreaming of becoming mainstream?

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Compliance is a dead end; trying to bypass it is more difficult than climbing to the sky.

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Another good project locked out by regulation, sigh.

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The more dramatic the increase, the more suspicious it seems. Someone must be manipulating behind the scenes.
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Trader Position Adjustment Diary: Altcoin Profit-Taking, Bitcoin Holdings, Cash Waiting for Opportunities
Recently, a trader shared their position adjustment approach. Although their altcoin long positions have been closed, having profits in hand is more important. They still hold a long position in Bitcoin, with cash on hand to wait for clear market signals. This "buy low and sell high" strategy is considered prudent for long-term traders.
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BTC0,28%
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BearMarketBrovip:
I need to learn from this guy's operation. Not being greedy isn't a good thing; knowing when to stop is what makes a master.
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FTX Credit Claim Payout Countdown: Complete these three steps by the end of March to receive your funds
FTX creditor representative Sunil updates on the payout progress. Creditors must complete registration by February 14 to participate in the payout on March 31. KYC verification, submission of the W-8 BEN form, and selection of the payout distribution agent are all mandatory. Creditors need to act quickly to ensure they receive their compensation.
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AirdropHunterXiaovip:
Bro, February 14th? This really is competing with Valentine's Day, but compared to getting out of singlehood, let's first secure the funds.

Don't skip any of the three steps, especially that W-8 form. Don't fall into the trap, Chinese users. KYC should have been completed long ago.

Honestly, it's a bit troublesome, but think about it—this is FTX's compensation... No matter how complicated, it has to be done.
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Funding rate turns bearish: After the adjustment, the market becomes more pessimistic, and altcoins face greater pressure
Recently, the crypto market has experienced adjustments, with the funding rates of mainstream CEX and DEX showing a market shift to bearish sentiment, especially with the increasing pessimism towards altcoins. Funding rates below 0.01% indicate a bearish market. Currently, both major and small-cap coins are underperforming, reflecting a clear change in market sentiment.
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liquidation_watchervip:
Altcoins are about to be wiped out again, it happens every time...
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Institutional Rebalancing Signal: Bitcoin ETF Net Outflow of Nearly $400 Million, BlackRock Increases Holdings Against the Trend
The US spot ETF market has shown divergence, with Bitcoin spot ETFs experiencing a net outflow of $394.7 million, and institutional performance varies significantly. BlackRock absorbed $15.1 million, while Fidelity saw an outflow of $205.2 million. Meanwhile, Ethereum spot ETFs attracted $4.7 million, indicating differences among institutions in crypto asset allocation.
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BTC0,28%
ETH1,24%
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gas_fee_therapistvip:
BlackRock is betting on Ethereum to turn things around, while Bitcoin is instead passing the buck? Something's off...

Fidelity's outflow of four billion is really intense. Could it be that institutions are bearish?

Grayscale, on the other hand, is running on both sides. Are they trying to liquidate their positions?

BlackRock is both absorbing and dumping, I know this routine well.

The division among institutions is so obvious... retail investors should just play it safe and copy the strategy.

Is the Ethereum ecosystem about to rise? Or is BlackRock just taking over the positions?

Fidelity and BlackRock are playing opposite moves. Whoever bets right this round will win big.

With so much outflow from Grayscale, is it because they can't raise funds recently or do they really have a negative outlook?
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Stablecoin controversy persists; US crypto regulation bill expected to be finalized within weeks
New developments in cryptocurrency industry regulation: Galaxy CEO Novogratz expects the comprehensive regulatory bill to be finalized within a few weeks. Although Senate discussions have stalled, both sides still need to reach a compromise on stablecoin yield issues to promote industry growth.
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BearMarketSunriservip:
It's really about stablecoins again. Honestly, banks just want to block all our profits. Why bother?
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The United States' first digital asset bank secures new funding: aiming for $200-400 million IPO, stablecoin business accelerates
The United States' first federally chartered digital asset bank, Anchorage Digital, is planning a new funding round of $200 million to $400 million to prepare for a potential initial public offering next year. After obtaining federal charter status, Anchorage plans to collaborate with Tether Holdings to launch the USAT token, marking a new phase in the compliant stablecoin market. The appeal of digital asset finance continues to grow.
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ShortingEnthusiastvip:
Nah, this time the valuation is about to soar again, Tether and their stablecoins are spreading so aggressively... Can it really work out?

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IPO expectations are sky-high, but can the US really regulate stablecoins? It still feels quite uncertain.

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Is the compliance arsenal stockpiling ammunition? Two hundred million to four hundred million is no small amount.

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I'll keep an eye on USAT once it launches. Don’t tell me it’s just another paper tiger.

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Anchorage’s federal charter license is indeed solid, but I still don’t understand the profit model for stablecoins.

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The GENIUS Act just came out, and they’re already thinking about IPOs. Are we heading straight for a crash?

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They’re so active in fundraising—feels a bit like they’re in a rush.
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Trump may impose tariffs on Greenland—how do macro policy changes affect the market?
Trump mentioned the possibility of imposing tariffs on countries with different stances on Greenland, reflecting adjustments in U.S. trade policy. This will boost inflation expectations, impact the dollar and global capital flows, and increase market risks. Crypto traders should pay attention to the impact of this policy on the macroeconomy.
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DefiVeteranvip:
This Greenland thing really made us laugh. When the tariff stick was waved, the crypto circle trembled.
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US stock market crypto concept stocks show clear divergence, with mining leader RIOT soaring 7.7%
On January 16, the three major U.S. stock indices opened strongly, but the performance of cryptocurrency concept stocks was mixed. MSTR, COIN, and CRCL declined slightly, while RIOT surged 7.7% due to a partnership with AMD. BMNR fell by 2.7%. Fundamental and partnership news drove stock price movements.
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LiquidityWizardvip:
riot's 7.7% pop actually makes sense from a correlation standpoint—fundamentally speaking, when you factor in the amd partnership's infrastructure multiplier effect, the risk-adjusted returns theoretically justified the move. though statistically significant? tbh depends on your volatility thresholds
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235,000 TRUMP tokens withdrawn by a whale in one go, market trends worth monitoring
【BlockBeats】On-chain data monitoring shows that a large holder quietly moved assets during the noon of January 16. About 20 minutes ago, a whale address withdrew 235,472 TRUMP tokens from a major exchange in one go, which was worth nearly $1.27 million at the market price at that time. This operation was quite significant in scale and also attracted market attention—every withdrawal action by large holders often reveals the true attitude of market participants.
TRUMP-2,24%
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GweiTooHighvip:
Whale ran away with 1.27 million in one go. Is this a sign of a dump?

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Large holders are withdrawing and leaving, it seems they are not so optimistic.

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Wait, is this a sell-off or preparation to crash? I'm a bit confused.

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It's the same pattern again, when whales move, the market trembles.

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Just $1.27 million can cause a stir, indicating that liquidity isn't as deep as expected.

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With such a large withdrawal, do they have a bearish outlook on the subsequent market trend?

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I just want to know what this whale will do next, that's the key.

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Damn, I’m really impressed, watching these big players' every move every day.

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This rhythm feels like a change is coming.

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Wait, is he withdrawing to sell off or transferring to a cold wallet? The information is too incomplete.
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