Once again, the fighting has broken out—Tehran is annoyed by the yellow-haired faction’s flip-flopping operations! 6.3 Trading Approach

Hezbollah does not agree to any “partial ceasefire” agreement with Israel. Khamenei stated that Hezbollah and its allies will not accept a plan of “stopping the Israeli army’s attacks on the southern suburbs of Beirut in exchange for Hezbollah stopping its attacks on Israeli northern towns and residential areas.” He emphasized that Hezbollah only accepts a comprehensive, complete, and real ceasefire, not merely a return to the situation before this round of conflict broke out. “We will not agree to any partial ceasefire agreement.” In the early morning, Iran launched attacks against the United States. The targets included the U.S. Ali Al-Salem Air Base in Kuwait and the Arifjan camp. The U.S. carried out self-defense, successfully repelling multiple ballistic missiles and drones launched by Iran, and conducted a “self-defense strike” against Geshm Island in response to Iran’s attempted attacks across the Middle East. It’s impossible to talk things through thoroughly anymore.

From a technical perspective, the coin price is essentially copying the drop—after breaking below the daily Bollinger lower band, the decline continues. This is mainly due to the escalation of the U.S.-Iran situation. Even Ethereum, which was originally holding strong, was dragged down as well. It’s not exactly “falling hard,” but the Bollinger upper band is closing in. The escalation of the situation might also be Iran trying to make the U.S. see the situation clearly. The U.S. frequently flip-flopping likely means it’s finally recognizing the situation too. Everyone, be cautious about chasing shorts. Shorting at this level is too dangerous—short again after a rebound!

6.3 Short-Selling Ideas

For Bitcoin: On a rebound to 70400-70900, short one position. For those who are steadier, enter at 71500-72000. Defend around 73000. Targets to watch are around 69500-69000-68500-68000. If it breaks through, look at 67000-66500-66000-65500-65000, and continue to move the stop-loss accordingly; take-profit is based on the situation!

For Ethereum: On a rebound to 1970-2000, short one position. Defend around 2040. Targets to watch are around 1900-1870-1850. If it breaks through, look at 1830-1800, and continue to move the stop-loss accordingly; take-profit is based on the situation!

6.3 Bottom-Buying Ideas

For Bitcoin: On a pullback to 65500-66000, buy one position. Defend at 64500. Targets to watch are around 67000-68000. If it breaks through, look at 69000-70,000, and continue to move the stop-loss accordingly; take-profit is based on the situation!

For Ethereum: On a pullback to 1800-1840, buy one position. Defend at 1770. Targets to watch are around 1900-1930-1950. If it breaks through, look at 1980-2000, and continue to move the stop-loss accordingly; take-profit is based on the situation!

With no good news to boost the market, it’s really hard for the bulls. The yellow-haired faction keeps flip-flopping, and I have no choice but to do what I can. This time, Iran is annoyed and responds directly with force—let’s see whether any good news comes out afterward. #成长值抽奖赢金条