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I just noticed something important in Bitcoin's historical data. It turns out that those who buy and hold Bitcoin for a long time really avoid losses significantly. According to analyses, if you hold Bitcoin for 3 years or more, the historical probability of loss is less than 0.7%!
On the other hand, short-term traders are in a completely different situation. Those who buy today and sell the same day face a loss risk of up to 47%, and even after a week, the risk remains at 44.7%. Even holding for a full year, the probability of loss is 24.3%. But if you wait 5 years, the risk drops to just 0.2%, and after 10 years, zero risk!
The current price is around $78,000. Those who have held for 3 to 5 years entered at an average price of about $34,780, meaning they are now in a temporary profit close to 90%. This clearly shows the big difference between long-term investing and quick trading in Bitcoin.