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🔥CITIC Securities Analysis: US-Iran Negotiations May Reach Consensus on Core Demands, Trump Needs to Step Back to Address Midterm Elections
CITIC Securities issued an analysis on US-Iran negotiations stating that, from the perspective of the US core demands, if Iran can give up uranium enrichment, it will become the US's most significant wartime achievement and the biggest "accomplishment" Trump can use to appease the domestic audience.
This round of conflict has already had a substantial negative impact on Trump's midterm elections, and he needs to extricate himself early.
Since the Iranian Islamic Revolution, the US has lost control over Iran's nuclear capabilities; past US presidents over the past few decades have failed to resolve this issue, severely affecting America's Middle East strategy.
Compared to the huge political propaganda value of Iran's "denuclearization achievement," the indirect link between oil prices and inflation may have less impact on the elections, so the Trump administration might be willing to compromise on issues like control of the Strait of Hormuz.
From Iran's core demands, ...