Yang Guang bit BTC (April 23 evening) Strategy: After the emotional sell-off, Bitcoin 77,380 resumes consolidation, waiting for a choice 🚀

【Latest News】 (Sources: CCTV News, CoinGlass, SoSoValue)
US-Iran negotiations officially postponed to April 26, currently stuck in a cold standoff, Iran refuses US negotiation invitations, the US plans to expand the Strait of Hormuz blockade, but no substantial military conflict has been triggered, and the ceasefire agreement is still in effect; after the recent emotional sell-off, risk aversion has gradually subsided, US stocks are opening near, market risk appetite is recovering; spot BTC ETF still maintains a net inflow for 6 consecutive days, institutional support logic remains unchanged.
【Market Status】
BTC current price 77,380 USD, the recent emotional sell-off bottomed near 77,100, triggering over 180 million long positions to be liquidated in a chain, then quickly rebounded, now back in the core consolidation zone of 77,000-78,000;
Technical: 76,800 Bollinger middle band remains the core support, short-term resistance at 77,800 and 78,500, 4-hour moving averages have not broken, the previous bullish structure remains intact;
On-chain funds: after liquidations cleared, short-term selling pressure has been fully released; spot BTC ETF has net inflow for 6 days in a row, long-term whales have accumulated 270k coins over 30 days, with no large-scale selling actions, exchange balances remain low, and the chip-holding sentiment persists;
US stock opening trend forecast: Based on recent market patterns, US stocks at the open (21:30) are usually a period of short-term volatility, the recent leverage sell-off has been cleared, if US tech stocks continue their strong performance from the previous day tonight, risk appetite will be restored, and BTC is likely to test the short-term resistance at 77,800; if US stocks open weak, there will only be a slight dip to 77,000, not breaking the core support at 76,800.
【Evening Trading Ideas】
✅ Holders: Continue holding long positions below 76,000, move stop-loss up to 76,500, betting on a rebound after sentiment recovery; those who have already taken profits on short positions can lock in gains, no need to chase shorts.
✅ Non-entries: After a rebound and stabilization in the 76,800-77,200 range, add longs in batches, with stop-loss set below 76,500; if US stocks rebound and break through 77,800 after the open, can lightly chase longs targeting 78,500, strictly avoid heavy chasing at high levels.
✅ Extreme scenarios: Break above $79,480: immediately chase longs, target $80,000, stop-loss at $78,500
Drop below $76,800: reduce positions by 50%, wait for $75,000 (weekly MA60) to re-enter
Risk Warning
Geopolitical uncertainties remain, US stock volatility may be large in the short term after the open, strictly set stop-loss, control position sizes, avoid chasing highs and selling lows, take profits gradually.
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