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I recently looked at the Altcoin Season Index on CoinMarketCap, and it still remains at 25, which says it all. Simply put, in the past 90 days, only a quarter of the top 100 altcoins outperformed Bitcoin, far below the 75 threshold. So it’s clear that it’s Bitcoin’s season now, with capital and momentum focused on BTC.
This is nothing new. Looking back at history, every Bitcoin season starts like this. First, BTC rises for a wave, attracting institutional and retail investors, then when BTC’s gains slow down and start consolidating, investors turn to altcoins for opportunities. So a low altcoin season index is actually a normal market cycle, no need to be too pessimistic.
For traders, this index is quite useful. It tells you how to allocate assets now and also reminds you not to over-allocate altcoins during Bitcoin’s season. At the same time, it’s a good time to screen for projects. Those altcoins that can still rise during Bitcoin dominance usually have real catalysts or fundamentals supporting them, worth paying attention to.
Based on past patterns, this kind of low altcoin season index usually shifts after a key trigger point. It could be Bitcoin stabilizing at a certain psychological level or a major technical upgrade being released. When that happens, capital will rotate, and the altcoin season will arrive. Now is the time to accumulate good projects.