The Clarity Act is most likely to pass review by May, with an approximately 50% chance of being officially enacted within the year.

According to market sources, the legislative process for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, which is advancing in the U.S. Senate, has been delayed by several months, but there remains a path forward despite a tight legislative schedule.

Insiders say that the original plan to push the bill forward is now largely unlikely; the earliest possibility is for it to enter committee review in the Senate in May. If a Senate vote can be completed before July, the bill still has a chance to become law in 2026.

However, some analysts point out that, given the limited legislative time window and the intertwining of multiple political issues, the probability of the bill passing in 2026 is about 50%. If significant disagreements re-emerge among negotiators later, there is a risk of further delays or even shelving.

Although cryptocurrency lobbying groups are eager for legislation to take effect immediately, industry campaign donors remain cautious about bipartisan support, and many politicians who favor enactment will only be able to take office in Congress next year.

But if the Clarity Act successfully becomes law at that time, the cryptocurrency industry may still face a series of urgent legislative issues, such as tax reform and establishing a federal Bitcoin reserve, which will test the balance between industry development and regulatory policy.

In summary, the Clarity Act is currently at a critical turning point. Despite significant challenges and time pressures, there is still a possibility of passing the bill in 2026.

The coming weeks will be a decisive phase, with markets closely watching the review process of the bill text and the final publication date of the bill.

Currently, disputes over stablecoin yields remain the main obstacle to advancing the bill, while the banking sector still holds a relatively advantageous position in this debate.

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